VGK beat CBJ 7–2. VGK lost the expected-goals battle 3.4 to 4.3 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Jack Eichel scored at 10:35 of the second, moving VGK’s win probability from 53% to 74%. Jiri Patera saved 2.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CBJ–VGK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:15 | VGK | Phil KesselPP from Pavel Dorofeyev, Reilly Smith | 0–1 | 54% → 69% |
| P2 0:37 | CBJ | Kirill Marchenko from Erik Gudbranson, Patrik Laine | 1–1 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 10:35 | VGK | Jack Eichel from Alec Martinez, Alex Pietrangelo | 1–2 | 53% → 74% |
| P2 12:09 | VGK | Pavel DorofeyevPP from Phil Kessel, Alex Pietrangelo | 1–3 | 75% → 89% |
| P2 16:24 | VGK | Zach Whitecloud from Brett Howden, Shea Theodore | 1–4 | 90% → 98% |
| P2 16:57 | VGK | Jack Eichel from Alex Pietrangelo | 1–5 | 98% → 100% |
| P3 4:18 | VGK | Paul Cotter from Chandler Stephenson, Alex Pietrangelo | 1–6 | 100% → 100% |
| P3 11:27 | VGK | Jack Eichel from Jonathan Marchessault, Brayden McNabb | 1–7 | 100% → 100% |
| P3 17:45 | CBJ | Liam Foudy from Kirill Marchenko, Patrik Laine | 2–7 | 0% → 0% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Foudy C | 14:13 | 1 | +0.44 | +0.10 | +0.34 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Kirill Marchenko R | 18:17 | 1 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.09 | +0.22 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Gavin Bayreuther D | 13:36 | +0.07 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tim Berni D | 20:09 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Blankenburg D | 18:07 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 23:36 | −0.01 | +0.05 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Johnny Gaudreau L | 17:17 | −0.04 | +0.11 | −0.39 | +0.06 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Lane Pederson C | 13:13 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Erik Gudbranson D | 20:16 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Boqvist D | 20:20 | −0.15 | +0.11 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Roslovic C | 13:53 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Kent Johnson C | 16:42 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathieu Olivier R | 13:21 | −0.21 | −0.11 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrik Laine L | 17:32 | 2 | −0.31 | +0.09 | −0.31 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.11 | |
| Eric Robinson L | 10:00 | −0.34 | −0.02 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emil Bemstrom C | 14:27 | −0.36 | +0.20 | −0.56 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Sillinger C | 14:21 | −0.43 | +0.19 | −0.57 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Boone Jenner C | 17:48 | −0.63 | −0.09 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.38 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Hutchinson G | 23:03 | −0.74 |
| Daniil Tarasov G | 36:57 | −2.41 |
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Eichel C | 15:07 | 3 | +2.41 | −0.01 | +2.34 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Phil Kessel R | 13:50 | 1 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.06 | +0.72 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Zach Whitecloud D | 19:07 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.05 | +0.71 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pavel Dorofeyev L | 14:32 | 1 | 1 | +0.66 | −0.06 | +0.72 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Paul Cotter C | 13:29 | 1 | +0.60 | −0.10 | +0.71 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Amadio R | 13:51 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 15:17 | −0.00 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.10 | ||
| Nicolas Hague D | 20:00 | −0.03 | +0.05 | −0.10 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 15:38 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 18:08 | 4 | −0.13 | −0.08 | −0.08 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alec Martinez D | 18:36 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.15 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ivan Barbashev L | 16:04 | −0.17 | +0.02 | −0.38 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden McNabb D | 20:42 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.09 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Chandler Stephenson C | 16:35 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 14:43 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Teddy Blueger C | 15:08 | −0.27 | −0.06 | −0.24 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Shea Theodore D | 20:47 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.11 | −0.28 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brett Howden C | 14:29 | 1 | −0.76 | +0.02 | −0.58 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Patera G | 60:00 | +2.60 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.