VAN beat DAL 5–2. Expected goals were close to even (DAL 2.6, VAN 2.3), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Phillip Di Giuseppe scored at 1:35 of the first, moving VAN’s win probability from 53% to 69%. Matt Murray allowed 2.6 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 1:35 | VAN | Phillip Di Giuseppe from J.T. Miller, Brock Boeser | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 6:00 | VAN | Andrei KuzmenkoPP from Conor Garland, Brock Boeser | 0–2 | 70% → 82% |
| P2 0:48 | DAL | Wyatt Johnston from Jamie Benn, Miro Heiskanen | 1–2 | 14% → 28% |
| P2 11:53 | VAN | Anthony Beauvillier from Christian Wolanin, Elias Pettersson | 1–3 | 74% → 89% |
| P2 19:55 | DAL | Jamie BennPP from Miro Heiskanen | 2–3 | 9% → 23% |
| P3 4:09 | VAN | Guillaume Brisebois from Nils Aman, Conor Garland | 2–4 | 79% → 94% |
| P3 16:58 | VAN | J.T. Miller from Brock Boeser | 2–5 | 99% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston C | 19:25 | 1 | +0.59 | −0.10 | +0.66 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Jamie Benn L | 16:25 | 1 | 1 | +0.52 | −0.08 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 |
| Roope Hintz C | 16:25 | +0.19 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Colin Miller D | 19:07 | +0.04 | +0.10 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 21:21 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Hanley D | 12:11 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Fredrik Olofsson L | 10:17 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 10:11 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Joel Kiviranta L | 14:09 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Suter D | 17:47 | −0.08 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Robertson L | 16:10 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.09 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 13:44 | −0.09 | +0.09 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Ty Dellandrea C | 14:21 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Evgenii Dadonov L | 16:51 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jani Hakanpää D | 18:02 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Miro Heiskanen D | 26:45 | 2 | −0.26 | −0.03 | −0.25 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Max Domi C | 15:47 | −0.28 | +0.01 | −0.13 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Pavelski C | 16:10 | −0.37 | −0.02 | −0.40 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Murray G | 59:19 | −2.65 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 15:22 | 1 | +0.85 | −0.02 | +0.67 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Guillaume Brisebois D | 16:01 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.03 | +0.74 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 18:00 | 1 | +0.65 | −0.04 | +0.69 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Phillip Di Giuseppe L | 13:05 | 1 | +0.62 | +0.05 | +0.78 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| J.T. Miller C | 18:46 | 1 | 1 | +0.41 | +0.03 | +0.59 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Noah Juulsen D | 17:22 | +0.23 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Conor Garland R | 14:21 | 2 | +0.04 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brock Boeser R | 17:15 | 3 | +0.03 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Kyle Burroughs D | 18:25 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 20:41 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Pettersson C | 22:05 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.14 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.07 | |
| Vitali Kravtsov R | 10:25 | −0.05 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nils Aman C | 13:56 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Dakota Joshua C | 14:01 | −0.13 | +0.05 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sheldon Dries C | 11:29 | −0.13 | −0.05 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Vasily Podkolzin R | 11:32 | −0.20 | −0.04 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Christian Wolanin D | 18:54 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Quinn Hughes D | 24:09 | −0.30 | +0.02 | −0.30 | +0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko G | 59:44 | +0.32 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.