CHI beat BOS 6–3. CHI lost the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 4.0 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Boris Katchouk scored at 6:59 of the third, moving CHI’s win probability from 52% to 81%. Petr Mrazek saved 2.0 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 14:29 | CHI | MacKenzie Entwistle unassisted | 0–1 | 53% → 71% |
| P2 14:58 |  BOS | Hampus Lindholm from Dmitry Orlov, Brad Marchand | 1–1 | 25% → 47% |
| P2 16:32 | CHI | Joey Anderson from Boris Katchouk, Caleb Jones | 1–2 | 53% → 76% |
| P2 19:48 | BOS | Trent Frederic from Tyler Bertuzzi, Hampus Lindholm | 2–2 | 23% → 48% |
| P3 3:02 | BOS | Pavel Zacha from David Krejci, David Pastrnak | 3–2 | 48% → 74% |
| P3 3:55 | CHI | Taylor Raddysh from Jujhar Khaira, Boris Katchouk | 3–3 | 25% → 52% |
| P3 6:59 | CHI | Boris Katchouk from Joey Anderson, Ian Mitchell | 3–4 | 52% → 81% |
| P3 16:08 | CHI | Taylor RaddyshPP from Tyler Johnson, Ian Mitchell | 3–5 | 91% → 99% |
| P3 19:15 | CHI | Taylor RaddyshEN from Jujhar Khaira | 3–6 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampus Lindholm D | 24:27 | 1 | 1 | +0.74 | −0.01 | +0.93 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Pavel Zacha C | 16:38 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.03 | +0.71 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Trent Frederic C | 12:18 | 1 | +0.29 | +0.10 | +0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Charlie McAvoy D | 23:51 | +0.25 | +0.24 | −0.05 | +0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 18:19 | +0.17 | +0.23 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Nosek L | 10:41 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Dmitry Orlov D | 22:43 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Derek Forbort D | 14:26 | −0.07 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Clifton D | 13:44 | −0.09 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Krejci C | 16:56 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 17:45 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.10 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 16:10 | −0.22 | +0.07 | −0.31 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie Coyle C | 16:26 | −0.23 | +0.06 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 9:30 | −0.25 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 18:47 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.02 | −0.37 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| A.J. Greer L | 8:54 | −0.35 | −0.06 | −0.28 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrice Bergeron C | 16:58 | −0.40 | +0.10 | −0.63 | −0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.14 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 16:13 | 1 | −0.67 | +0.09 | −0.94 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark G | 59:21 | −1.90 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Raddysh R | 17:14 | 3 | +1.21 | −0.01 | +1.40 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Joey Anderson R | 12:31 | 1 | 1 | +0.97 | +0.02 | +0.76 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 |
| Boris Katchouk L | 13:47 | 1 | 2 | +0.86 | +0.18 | +0.69 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 14:31 | 1 | +0.49 | −0.14 | +0.70 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Ian Mitchell D | 16:30 | 2 | +0.35 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.38 | +0.00 | |
| Caleb Jones D | 21:31 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.12 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Murphy D | 19:28 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jarred Tinordi D | 19:50 | −0.02 | +0.06 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 17:12 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lukas Reichel L | 16:21 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zaitsev D | 15:34 | −0.15 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Hardman L | 11:01 | −0.17 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jujhar Khaira L | 13:34 | 2 | −0.27 | +0.14 | −0.41 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Buddy Robinson R | 11:05 | −0.28 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 24:11 | −0.32 | −0.19 | −0.05 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Johnson C | 16:17 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.17 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jason Dickinson C | 16:50 | −0.60 | −0.20 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | −0.08 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 18:33 | −0.61 | −0.09 | −0.52 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Mrazek G | 28:48 | +2.00 |
| Alex Stalock G | 31:12 | −0.42 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.