CAR beat PHI 1–0. CAR also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 1.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Andrei Svechnikov scored on the power play at 2:09 of the first, moving CAR’s win probability from 54% to 69%. Felix Sandstrom saved 1.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–CAR | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:09 |  CAR | Andrei SvechnikovPP from Martin Necas, Brent Burns | 0–1 | 54% → 69% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 9:54 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Braun D | 12:50 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 19:45 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 15:59 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 20:04 | −0.06 | −0.10 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kieffer Bellows L | 7:38 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 22:44 | −0.13 | −0.09 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Laczynski C | 7:55 | −0.14 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 13:25 | −0.15 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 13:23 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elliot Desnoyers L | 15:24 | −0.21 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Cam York D | 24:11 | −0.23 | −0.18 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 16:47 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Farabee L | 19:46 | −0.29 | −0.15 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Foerster R | 13:51 | −0.34 | −0.04 | −0.31 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Hayes R | 16:05 | −0.41 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 26:02 | −0.41 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Frost C | 19:42 | −0.44 | −0.10 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.05 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Sandstrom G | 57:53 | +1.49 |
CAR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Svechnikov R | 18:16 | 1 | +0.62 | +0.15 | +0.43 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Staal C | 15:57 | +0.28 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Brett Pesce D | 19:34 | +0.20 | +0.06 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Brady Skjei D | 19:40 | +0.07 | +0.08 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaccob Slavin D | 21:10 | +0.05 | +0.12 | −0.10 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Stefan Noesen R | 11:15 | +0.04 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Brent Burns D | 25:08 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.09 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Derek Stepan C | 6:32 | +0.03 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Jordan Martinook L | 18:32 | +0.03 | +0.07 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Calvin de Haan D | 13:29 | +0.01 | +0.11 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Stastny C | 9:43 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Martin Necas C | 21:00 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.11 | −0.20 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 14:07 | −0.10 | +0.09 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 16:40 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.15 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sebastian Aho C | 19:23 | −0.15 | +0.09 | −0.28 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Seth Jarvis R | 15:13 | −0.17 | +0.04 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi C | 17:12 | −0.21 | +0.04 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Fast R | 15:24 | −0.31 | +0.02 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov G | 59:45 | +1.30 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.