VAN beat ANA 3–2 in overtime. VAN also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 1.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: J.T. Miller scored at 0:20 of overtime, moving VAN’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:40 | ANA | Troy Terry from Mason McTavish, Max Jones | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 14:44 |  VAN | J.T. MillerSH from Elias Pettersson | 1–1 | 35% → 52% |
| P2 14:23 | VAN | Andrei Kuzmenko from Anthony Beauvillier, Elias Pettersson | 1–2 | 53% → 75% |
| P2 14:43 | ANA | Brock McGinn from Trevor Zegras, Ryan Strome | 2–2 | 25% → 47% |
| OT 0:20 | VAN | J.T. Miller from Quinn Hughes | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock McGinn L | 13:16 | 1 | +0.67 | −0.05 | +0.74 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Troy Terry R | 18:07 | 1 | +0.65 | −0.22 | +0.68 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 21:54 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton White D | 16:39 | −0.11 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Simon Benoit D | 20:57 | −0.14 | −0.11 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 16:35 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.09 | −0.07 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Frank Vatrano R | 15:11 | −0.15 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Nathan Beaulieu D | 16:54 | −0.16 | −0.16 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Maxime Comtois L | 15:17 | −0.17 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 15:45 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.07 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Scott Harrington D | 18:00 | −0.18 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 15:22 | −0.20 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Mason McTavish C | 16:39 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.08 | |
| Sam Carrick C | 13:08 | −0.26 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Max Jones L | 15:24 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.11 | −0.16 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Isac Lundeström C | 14:55 | −0.35 | −0.15 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Derek Grant C | 14:22 | −0.43 | −0.23 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 22:35 | −0.47 | −0.46 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal G | 60:20 | +0.24 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Miller C | 20:18 | 2 | +1.92 | +0.26 | +1.56 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.09 | |
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 15:11 | 1 | +0.82 | +0.14 | +0.66 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Quinn Hughes D | 25:31 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.32 | −0.09 | +0.07 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Christian Wolanin D | 20:05 | +0.21 | +0.23 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 23:32 | +0.16 | +0.23 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 16:09 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.21 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Noah Juulsen D | 16:01 | +0.12 | +0.14 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Conor Garland R | 13:09 | +0.06 | +0.19 | −0.17 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vasily Podkolzin R | 11:38 | +0.04 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Boeser R | 17:40 | −0.04 | +0.08 | −0.14 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Elias Pettersson C | 17:22 | 2 | −0.05 | +0.29 | −0.34 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Dakota Joshua C | 11:10 | −0.07 | +0.09 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sheldon Dries C | 11:49 | −0.08 | +0.02 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Kyle Burroughs D | 20:51 | −0.10 | +0.15 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Guillaume Brisebois D | 15:32 | −0.14 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nils Aman C | 12:04 | −0.20 | +0.12 | −0.30 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Vitali Kravtsov R | 12:45 | −0.34 | +0.06 | −0.40 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Di Giuseppe L | 16:13 | −0.36 | +0.05 | −0.38 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko G | 60:20 | −0.53 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.