DET beat CHI 4–3. DET also won the expected-goals battle 3.8 to 1.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Dominik Kubalik scored at 15:53 of the third, moving DET’s win probability from 51% to 90%. Ville Husso allowed 1.3 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–DET | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 15:51 | CHI | Taylor RaddyshPP from Lukas Reichel, Andreas Athanasiou | 1–0 | 48% → 65% |
| P1 17:58 | CHI | Taylor Raddysh from Cole Guttman, Connor Murphy | 2–0 | 65% → 79% |
| P2 2:53 | DET | Jake Walman from Moritz Seider, Alex Chiasson | 2–1 | 19% → 34% |
| P2 18:34 | DET | Dylan LarkinPP from Alex Chiasson, David Perron | 2–2 | 29% → 53% |
| P3 6:10 | CHI | Joey Anderson from Jujhar Khaira | 3–2 | 48% → 77% |
| P3 12:36 | DET | Lucas Raymond from Robert Hagg, Ben Chiarot | 3–3 | 17% → 51% |
| P3 15:53 | DET | Dominik Kubalik from Gustav Lindstrom, Andrew Copp | 3–4 | 51% → 90% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Raddysh R | 16:14 | 2 | +1.45 | −0.17 | +1.62 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joey Anderson R | 11:29 | 1 | +0.87 | −0.03 | +0.91 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Murphy D | 18:46 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jarred Tinordi D | 17:57 | +0.08 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 14:06 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jujhar Khaira L | 12:02 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Seth Jones D | 25:42 | −0.16 | −0.17 | −0.15 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Boris Katchouk L | 12:02 | −0.19 | −0.10 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anders Bjork L | 13:38 | −0.23 | −0.10 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ian Mitchell D | 15:32 | −0.25 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 12:54 | −0.27 | −0.13 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Caleb Jones D | 23:40 | −0.27 | −0.26 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Guttman C | 15:04 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Lukas Reichel L | 18:51 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 20:12 | 1 | −0.45 | −0.36 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Nikita Zaitsev D | 13:16 | −0.48 | −0.30 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Johnson C | 18:19 | −0.52 | −0.32 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 18:33 | −0.71 | −0.20 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.07 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Stalock G | 57:37 | +0.02 |
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Walman D | 23:04 | 1 | +1.04 | +0.20 | +0.85 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dominik Kubalik L | 13:47 | 1 | +0.98 | +0.02 | +0.77 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Lucas Raymond L | 21:49 | 1 | +0.91 | +0.52 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Dylan Larkin C | 22:11 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.36 | +0.31 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.12 | |
| Moritz Seider D | 24:39 | 1 | +0.32 | +0.29 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Robert Hagg D | 15:13 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.27 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Gustav Lindstrom D | 14:28 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.23 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ben Chiarot D | 19:46 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.15 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Olli Maatta D | 19:05 | +0.09 | +0.12 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pius Suter C | 15:28 | +0.07 | +0.01 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Copp C | 19:08 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.18 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Adam Erne L | 12:23 | −0.06 | +0.13 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonatan Berggren R | 14:30 | −0.11 | +0.03 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Perron L | 20:32 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.30 | −0.42 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joe Veleno C | 13:14 | −0.22 | +0.11 | −0.09 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Alex Chiasson R | 8:01 | 2 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Robby Fabbri C | 4:48 | −0.24 | +0.09 | −0.32 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Zadina R | 13:01 | −0.43 | +0.17 | −0.40 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ville Husso G | 59:47 | −1.33 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.