LAK beat WSH 4–2. LAK also won the expected-goals battle 4.3 to 2.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Mikey Anderson scored at 7:52 of the third, moving LAK’s win probability from 52% to 81%. Darcy Kuemper saved 1.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WSH–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 11:39 | WSH | Rasmus Sandin from Sonny Milano, Dylan Strome | 1–0 | 47% → 69% |
| P2 13:18 |  LAK | Vladislav Gavrikov from Kevin Fiala, Viktor Arvidsson | 1–1 | 30% → 53% |
| P2 19:27 | LAK | Phillip Danault from Viktor Arvidsson, Matt Roy | 1–2 | 52% → 77% |
| P3 2:31 | WSH | Alex OvechkinPP from Rasmus Sandin, Nicklas Backstrom | 2–2 | 28% → 49% |
| P3 7:52 | LAK | Mikey Anderson from Quinton Byfield, Adrian Kempe | 2–3 | 52% → 81% |
| P3 19:58 | LAK | Adrian KempeEN from Alex Iafallo | 2–4 | 98% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Sandin D | 25:06 | 1 | 1 | +0.60 | −0.20 | +0.82 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Alex Ovechkin L | 17:47 | 1 | +0.35 | −0.23 | +0.57 | +0.05 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 25:33 | +0.12 | −0.02 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nic Dowd C | 12:34 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Nicolas Aube-Kubel R | 10:54 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Conor Sheary L | 13:13 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Mantha R | 13:42 | −0.15 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicklas Backstrom C | 15:43 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| T.J. Oshie R | 17:44 | −0.21 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Wilson R | 18:27 | −0.26 | −0.22 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Gabriel Carlsson D | 11:35 | −0.26 | −0.26 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vincent Iorio D | 15:57 | −0.28 | −0.24 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Irwin D | 14:27 | −0.29 | −0.29 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Alexeyev D | 20:39 | −0.32 | −0.28 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sonny Milano L | 12:02 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.14 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Craig Smith C | 10:21 | −0.48 | −0.30 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 17:10 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.25 | −0.32 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov C | 19:06 | −0.64 | −0.33 | −0.28 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 58:00 | +1.22 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikey Anderson D | 18:22 | 1 | +1.06 | +0.28 | +0.77 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 21:21 | 1 | +1.00 | +0.33 | +0.71 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Phillip Danault C | 18:42 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.23 | +0.28 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.05 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 20:36 | +0.23 | +0.23 | −0.09 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 13:56 | +0.22 | +0.18 | −0.23 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.38 | −0.08 | ||
| Alexander Edler D | 15:03 | +0.21 | +0.19 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 20:12 | 1 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.24 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Alex Iafallo L | 15:39 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.27 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Quinton Byfield R | 14:12 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Drew Doughty D | 28:07 | +0.02 | +0.18 | −0.35 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Durzi D | 12:36 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Kupari C | 8:51 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Zack MacEwen C | 5:52 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 5:47 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 19:00 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.26 | −0.31 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Fiala L | 18:46 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.37 | −0.53 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 16:03 | −0.37 | +0.20 | −0.57 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 17:09 | 2 | −0.42 | +0.28 | −0.54 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Pheonix Copley G | 60:00 | −0.41 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.