SEA beat COL 3–2 in overtime. SEA also won the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Yanni Gourde scored at 1:24 of overtime, moving SEA’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SEA–COL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:19 | COL | Nathan MacKinnon from Artturi Lehkonen, Valeri Nichushkin | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P2 9:52 | SEA | Alexander Wennberg from Will Borgen, Jaden Schwartz | 1–1 | 26% → 47% |
| P2 11:45 | COL | Denis Malgin from Cale Makar, Evan Rodrigues | 1–2 | 53% → 74% |
| P3 17:30 | SEA | Brandon Tanev from Jaden Schwartz | 2–2 | 7% → 49% |
| OT 1:24 | SEA | Yanni Gourde from Vince Dunn, Matty Beniers | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanni Gourde C | 18:11 | 1 | +0.50 | +0.19 | +0.39 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Vince Dunn D | 22:46 | 1 | +0.26 | +0.13 | −0.02 | +0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jaden Schwartz C | 17:15 | 2 | +0.18 | −0.04 | −0.09 | +0.28 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Brandon Tanev L | 10:22 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.08 | +0.31 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Will Borgen D | 15:59 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matty Beniers C | 18:03 | 1 | +0.10 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.38 | −0.02 | |
| Justin Schultz D | 18:54 | +0.07 | −0.07 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 17:59 | +0.06 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 8:09 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Froden R | 8:50 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 22:13 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.13 | +0.29 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.09 | |
| Carson Soucy D | 15:24 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 9:27 | −0.10 | +0.05 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 22:56 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 17:18 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.11 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 16:43 | −0.28 | +0.14 | −0.30 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared McCann L | 20:35 | −0.29 | +0.08 | −0.32 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 19:37 | −0.50 | −0.12 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer G | 60:55 | +0.38 |
COL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denis Malgin C | 7:29 | 1 | +0.44 | +0.09 | +0.39 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nathan MacKinnon C | 22:13 | 1 | +0.19 | −0.23 | +0.41 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Andrew Cogliano C | 13:13 | +0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Cale Makar D | 23:40 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.09 | −0.05 | +0.21 | +0.04 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Newhook C | 8:32 | +0.08 | +0.10 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Lars Eller C | 10:49 | +0.08 | +0.11 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Evan Rodrigues C | 9:26 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 20:34 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.05 | −0.10 | +0.18 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Devon Toews D | 27:47 | +0.04 | +0.05 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Samuel Girard D | 20:36 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Hunt D | 8:42 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bowen Byram D | 22:52 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Logan O'Connor R | 13:41 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| J.T. Compher L | 21:19 | −0.24 | +0.05 | −0.23 | −0.12 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Valeri Nichushkin R | 17:37 | 1 | −0.25 | +0.16 | −0.19 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jack Johnson D | 15:25 | −0.28 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Nieto L | 10:22 | −0.28 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikko Rantanen R | 19:55 | −0.51 | −0.15 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandar Georgiev G | 61:24 | +0.21 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.