LAK beat WPG 6–5 in a shootout. LAK also won the expected-goals battle 3.7 to 3.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Gabriel Vilardi scored at 15:54 of the third, moving LAK’s win probability from 10% to 49%. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 1.9 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–WPG | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 15:52 | WPG | Josh Morrissey from Mark Scheifele, Blake Wheeler | 0–1 | 53% → 71% |
| P1 17:35 | WPG | Josh Morrissey from Dylan DeMelo | 0–2 | 71% → 85% |
| P2 0:26 | LAK | Anze KopitarPP from Kevin Fiala, Drew Doughty | 1–2 | 15% → 28% |
| P2 6:08 | WPG | Kyle Connor from Mark Scheifele, Josh Morrissey | 1–3 | 73% → 87% |
| P2 9:14 | LAK | Anze Kopitar from Alexander Edler, Quinton Byfield | 2–3 | 12% → 26% |
| P2 10:43 | LAK | Anze Kopitar from Drew Doughty | 3–3 | 26% → 47% |
| P2 12:00 | WPG | Kevin Stenlund from Josh Morrissey, Dylan DeMelo | 3–4 | 53% → 74% |
| P2 18:26 | WPG | Kevin StenlundSH from Adam Lowry | 3–5 | 76% → 91% |
| P3 1:26 | LAK | Anze Kopitar from Carl Grundstrom, Sean Durzi | 4–5 | 8% → 22% |
| P3 15:54 | LAK | Gabriel Vilardi from Blake Lizotte, Alex Iafallo | 5–5 | 10% → 49% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anze Kopitar C | 20:38 | 4 | +3.34 | +0.19 | +2.93 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Adrian Kempe R | 16:48 | +0.58 | +0.15 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.77 | ||
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 15:00 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.03 | +0.51 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.33 | |
| Alex Iafallo L | 19:23 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.18 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Mikey Anderson D | 24:32 | +0.13 | +0.12 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 20:05 | +0.09 | +0.20 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Durzi D | 21:51 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.03 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Phillip Danault C | 21:46 | +0.03 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Kupari C | 10:04 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 28:21 | 2 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Carl Grundstrom R | 8:40 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Quinton Byfield R | 15:12 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.11 | −0.24 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Sean Walker D | 13:30 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 15:30 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.03 | −0.16 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | |
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 9:58 | −0.19 | +0.06 | −0.26 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Alexander Edler D | 11:08 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Fiala L | 16:48 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.22 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 19:45 | −0.49 | +0.01 | −0.67 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Pheonix Copley G | 65:00 | −0.77 |
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Stenlund C | 16:31 | 2 | +1.62 | +0.08 | +1.62 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | |
| Josh Morrissey D | 25:59 | 2 | 2 | +1.54 | +0.12 | +1.22 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Kyle Connor L | 23:15 | 1 | +0.48 | +0.15 | +0.76 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.39 | |
| Dylan DeMelo D | 19:46 | 2 | +0.32 | +0.24 | +0.01 | +0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Karson Kuhlman C | 12:49 | +0.07 | +0.14 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Saku Maenalanen R | 8:52 | −0.09 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 17:48 | −0.13 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Neal Pionk D | 19:15 | −0.14 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Logan Stanley D | 8:01 | −0.16 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Samberg D | 13:17 | −0.18 | −0.16 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nate Schmidt D | 16:36 | −0.23 | −0.25 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Gagner C | 10:07 | −0.27 | +0.00 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Brenden Dillon D | 18:04 | −0.27 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Lowry C | 20:46 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.25 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | |
| Morgan Barron C | 13:50 | −0.46 | +0.06 | −0.52 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Nino Niederreiter R | 18:13 | −0.57 | −0.37 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mark Scheifele C | 25:44 | 2 | −0.67 | +0.05 | −0.65 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.03 | −0.33 | |
| Blake Wheeler R | 21:04 | 1 | −0.74 | −0.15 | −0.26 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.34 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck G | 63:57 | −1.94 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.