DAL beat VGK 3–2 in a shootout. Expected goals were close to even (DAL 4.6, VGK 4.5), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Roope Hintz scored on the power play at 19:22 of the third, moving DAL’s win probability from 4% to 49%. Jake Oettinger saved 3.9 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–VGK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 12:00 |  VGK | Michael Amadio from Brayden McNabb, Shea Theodore | 0–1 | 53% → 74% |
| P2 14:01 |  DAL | Wyatt Johnston from Ty Dellandrea, Jamie Benn | 1–1 | 25% → 47% |
| P3 15:23 | VGK | Jack Eichel from Chandler Stephenson, Jonathan Marchessault | 1–2 | 51% → 89% |
| P3 19:22 | DAL | Roope HintzPP from Jason Robertson, Jamie Benn | 2–2 | 4% → 49% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roope Hintz C | 23:50 | 1 | +0.69 | −0.02 | +0.28 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.22 | |
| Jason Robertson L | 22:56 | 1 | +0.42 | +0.14 | −0.61 | +0.08 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.65 | |
| Wyatt Johnston C | 18:30 | 1 | +0.29 | −0.19 | +0.49 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Fredrik Olofsson L | 9:11 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mason Marchment L | 17:49 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Nils Lundkvist D | 13:47 | +0.03 | +0.15 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Suter D | 17:00 | −0.01 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 18:23 | −0.05 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Hanley D | 6:05 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin Miller D | 15:47 | −0.13 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jani Hakanpää D | 17:36 | −0.15 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Denis Gurianov R | 9:35 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Miro Heiskanen D | 27:57 | −0.23 | −0.11 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Pavelski C | 21:45 | −0.38 | +0.05 | −0.46 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Ty Dellandrea C | 13:02 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.13 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Jamie Benn L | 19:59 | 2 | −0.48 | −0.00 | −0.52 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | |
| Radek Faksa C | 17:34 | −0.59 | −0.17 | −0.42 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Tyler Seguin C | 21:51 | −1.17 | +0.02 | −1.18 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger G | 63:23 | +3.87 |
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Amadio R | 14:09 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +0.54 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| William Karlsson C | 17:37 | +0.21 | +0.35 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 22:54 | +0.06 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Whitecloud D | 14:37 | +0.05 | +0.07 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shea Theodore D | 22:42 | 1 | +0.00 | +0.45 | −0.46 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brayden McNabb D | 20:50 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Byron Froese C | 10:29 | −0.04 | +0.19 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Hague D | 14:47 | −0.08 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chandler Stephenson C | 24:51 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.19 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Keegan Kolesar R | 8:24 | −0.21 | +0.17 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Phil Kessel R | 13:00 | −0.27 | −0.08 | −0.19 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 11:51 | −0.27 | +0.20 | −0.45 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jack Eichel C | 23:18 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.32 | +0.25 | +0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.30 | |
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 25:27 | −0.28 | −0.30 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 18:47 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.06 | −0.37 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| William Carrier L | 12:49 | −0.60 | −0.03 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.38 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 19:03 | −0.61 | +0.50 | −1.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Paul Cotter C | 11:25 | −0.87 | −0.27 | −0.26 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.33 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Laurent Brossoit G | 65:00 | +2.20 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.