NJD beat LAK 4–3 in overtime. NJD also won the expected-goals battle 4.1 to 2.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Dawson Mercer scored at 2:30 of overtime, moving NJD’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:24 |  LAK | Anze Kopitar from Sean Durzi, Adrian Kempe | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 11:35 | LAK | Viktor Arvidsson from Kevin Fiala, Mikey Anderson | 2–0 | 64% → 77% |
| P2 16:44 | NJD | Tomas Tatar from Dawson Mercer | 2–1 | 12% → 29% |
| P3 2:23 | NJD | Dawson Mercer from Tomas Tatar, Kevin Bahl | 2–2 | 26% → 52% |
| P3 15:41 | LAK | Sean Durzi from Anze Kopitar, Kevin Fiala | 3–2 | 49% → 88% |
| P3 19:21 | NJD | Nico HischierPP from Jack Hughes, Dougie Hamilton | 3–3 | 5% → 51% |
| OT 2:30 | NJD | Dawson Mercer from Dougie Hamilton, Vitek Vanecek | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Durzi D | 20:44 | 1 | 1 | +0.85 | +0.07 | +0.80 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Anze Kopitar C | 22:39 | 1 | 1 | +0.67 | −0.12 | +0.82 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 18:13 | 1 | +0.44 | −0.15 | +0.60 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Mikey Anderson D | 27:23 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tobias Bjornfot D | 12:20 | −0.10 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 19:30 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Iafallo L | 15:46 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 6:22 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 13:36 | −0.15 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Walker D | 12:29 | −0.16 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaret Anderson-Dolan C | 5:35 | −0.16 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 19:49 | −0.19 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 28:03 | −0.28 | −0.28 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 16:15 | −0.31 | +0.05 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 19:38 | −0.39 | −0.17 | −0.37 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Rasmus Kupari C | 8:42 | −0.39 | −0.07 | −0.29 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 14:04 | −0.54 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.38 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 18:22 | 2 | −0.97 | −0.36 | −0.42 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Pheonix Copley G | 62:30 | +0.18 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson Mercer C | 20:09 | 2 | 1 | +1.50 | +0.17 | +1.35 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Nico Hischier C | 22:24 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.19 | +0.38 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.04 | |
| Tomas Tatar L | 19:27 | 1 | 1 | +0.68 | −0.04 | +0.73 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Ondrej Palat L | 15:29 | +0.26 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| John Marino D | 19:36 | +0.23 | +0.23 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Bahl D | 13:06 | 1 | +0.21 | +0.20 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 19:54 | +0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Dougie Hamilton D | 24:51 | 2 | +0.18 | +0.17 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael McLeod C | 12:03 | +0.14 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Damon Severson D | 18:10 | +0.03 | +0.13 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Graves D | 18:35 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Miles Wood L | 13:27 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Boqvist C | 11:37 | −0.11 | +0.07 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Fabian Zetterlund L | 8:08 | −0.19 | +0.05 | −0.24 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 20:34 | −0.28 | −0.02 | −0.27 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 11:16 | −0.36 | −0.08 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Haula L | 14:30 | −0.50 | +0.08 | −0.56 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jack Hughes C | 22:50 | 1 | −0.57 | +0.44 | −1.03 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Vitek Vanecek G | 61:54 | −0.85 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.