CHI beat DAL 4–3. CHI lost the expected-goals battle 2.4 to 3.0 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Max Domi scored at 4:13 of the third, moving CHI’s win probability from 48% to 75%. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.9 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 12:58 |  DAL | Tyler Seguin unassisted | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 14:17 | DAL | Jamie Benn from Denis Gurianov | 0–2 | 71% → 84% |
| P2 4:33 | DAL | Jason RobertsonPP from Miro Heiskanen, Jamie Benn | 0–3 | 87% → 95% |
| P2 10:10 | CHI | Max DomiPP from Patrick Kane, Seth Jones | 1–3 | 4% → 12% |
| P2 15:24 | CHI | Patrick Kane from Max Domi | 2–3 | 10% → 25% |
| P2 18:05 | CHI | Patrick Kane from Philipp Kurashev, Seth Jones | 3–3 | 24% → 47% |
| P3 4:13 | CHI | Max Domi unassisted | 4–3 | 48% → 75% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Domi C | 15:59 | 2 | 1 | +1.64 | +0.15 | +1.45 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Patrick Kane R | 18:01 | 2 | 1 | +1.60 | +0.10 | +1.49 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Colin Blackwell C | 11:20 | +0.11 | +0.04 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Caleb Jones D | 20:10 | +0.08 | +0.08 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake McCabe D | 18:23 | +0.07 | +0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 21:36 | 2 | −0.01 | +0.09 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Boris Katchouk L | 11:00 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Isaak Phillips D | 16:35 | −0.04 | +0.03 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 18:16 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.12 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 14:19 | −0.11 | +0.09 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Johnson D | 20:52 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Lafferty C | 16:43 | −0.15 | +0.09 | −0.29 | −0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Brett Seney L | 10:24 | −0.17 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 20:19 | −0.19 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Raddysh R | 16:30 | −0.25 | −0.26 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 15:03 | −0.27 | +0.14 | −0.24 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.03 | ||
| Cole Guttman C | 14:50 | −0.34 | −0.32 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Tyler Johnson C | 15:34 | −0.39 | −0.28 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jaxson Stauber G | 60:00 | −0.12 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Robertson L | 19:55 | 1 | +0.87 | +0.11 | +0.70 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Seguin C | 16:37 | 1 | +0.54 | +0.11 | +0.50 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.07 | |
| Jamie Benn L | 16:22 | 1 | 1 | +0.46 | −0.11 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.03 |
| Esa Lindell D | 19:39 | +0.21 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Marchment L | 14:55 | +0.14 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Hanley D | 5:48 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Roope Hintz C | 21:26 | −0.01 | +0.11 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ty Dellandrea C | 13:25 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Miro Heiskanen D | 27:29 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.08 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jani Hakanpää D | 19:59 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin Miller D | 14:25 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Suter D | 16:13 | −0.13 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 14:40 | −0.14 | +0.19 | −0.31 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Johnston C | 17:15 | −0.16 | −0.05 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nils Lundkvist D | 16:37 | −0.16 | −0.11 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Denis Gurianov R | 13:06 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joe Pavelski C | 19:20 | −0.20 | +0.03 | −0.27 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Fredrik Olofsson L | 11:24 | −0.31 | +0.04 | −0.34 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger G | 57:42 | −1.87 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.