CHI beat VGK 3–2 in a shootout. CHI also won the expected-goals battle 3.8 to 2.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Tyler Johnson scored on the power play at 19:05 of the third, moving CHI’s win probability from 6% to 50%. Petr Mrazek saved 2.3 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:26 |  VGK | Keegan Kolesar from Nicolas Roy | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 12:39 | CHI | Cole Guttman from Tyler Johnson, Taylor Raddysh | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P2 11:32 | VGK | Jack Eichel from Shea Theodore | 2–1 | 47% → 69% |
| P3 19:05 | CHI | Tyler JohnsonPP from Patrick Kane, Max Domi | 2–2 | 6% → 50% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Kolesar R | 12:46 | 1 | +0.82 | +0.08 | +0.77 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Jack Eichel C | 18:22 | 1 | +0.43 | −0.02 | +0.68 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.33 | |
| Nicolas Roy C | 17:17 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.15 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Brayden McNabb D | 20:04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phil Kessel R | 13:35 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 21:02 | −0.09 | +0.05 | −0.19 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Hague D | 17:58 | −0.10 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Whitecloud D | 15:51 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 24:07 | −0.11 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Amadio R | 12:38 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 14:47 | −0.23 | +0.05 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| William Carrier L | 13:40 | −0.44 | −0.09 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 16:29 | −0.46 | −0.19 | −0.26 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 16:41 | −0.47 | −0.13 | −0.34 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Paul Cotter C | 15:18 | −0.52 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.39 | ||
| Chandler Stephenson C | 18:35 | −0.56 | −0.22 | −0.34 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Shea Theodore D | 23:55 | 1 | −0.57 | −0.21 | −0.38 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 16:55 | −0.92 | −0.17 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.51 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Laurent Brossoit G | 65:00 | +1.77 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Johnson C | 16:43 | 1 | 1 | +1.67 | −0.04 | +0.75 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.99 |
| Cole Guttman C | 14:44 | 1 | +0.70 | +0.04 | +0.67 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Jake McCabe D | 20:31 | +0.44 | +0.42 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 17:52 | +0.19 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin Blackwell C | 10:48 | +0.04 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 23:20 | +0.04 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 16:17 | +0.01 | +0.09 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | ||
| Jack Johnson D | 17:05 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Max Domi C | 18:49 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.44 | −0.40 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.03 | −0.00 | |
| Taylor Raddysh R | 15:34 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.05 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Sam Lafferty C | 18:08 | −0.12 | +0.10 | −0.22 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Boris Katchouk L | 9:46 | −0.14 | +0.04 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Isaak Phillips D | 16:32 | −0.18 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 14:24 | −0.46 | +0.01 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.33 | ||
| Caleb Jones D | 20:39 | −0.54 | −0.33 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 27:09 | −0.60 | +0.41 | −0.93 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Seney L | 10:55 | −0.62 | −0.03 | −0.56 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 25:01 | 1 | −0.94 | +0.17 | −0.73 | +0.06 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.39 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Mrazek G | 63:43 | +2.30 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.