DET beat WSH 3–1. Expected goals were close to even (DET 2.8, WSH 3.0), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Robert Hagg scored at 10:16 of the first, moving DET’s win probability from 47% to 64%. Ville Husso saved 1.7 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DET–WSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:16 | DET | Robert Hagg from Tyler Bertuzzi, Olli Maatta | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 14:22 | DET | Pius SuterSH unassisted | 2–0 | 64% → 78% |
| P1 15:57 |  WSH | Tom WilsonPP from Erik Gustafsson, Nicklas Backstrom | 2–1 | 22% → 36% |
| P3 6:24 | DET | Pius Suter unassisted | 3–1 | 77% → 93% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pius Suter C | 17:04 | 2 | +1.61 | −0.00 | +1.61 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Robert Hagg D | 13:56 | 1 | +1.13 | +0.01 | +0.91 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Filip Hronek D | 22:37 | +0.09 | +0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Walman D | 18:06 | +0.07 | +0.09 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Robby Fabbri C | 17:44 | +0.01 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Olli Maatta D | 16:50 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Oskar Sundqvist C | 12:42 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Moritz Seider D | 24:07 | −0.05 | +0.04 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Rasmussen C | 19:43 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Ben Chiarot D | 20:20 | −0.08 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dominik Kubalik L | 13:25 | −0.14 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Larkin C | 2:54 | −0.15 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Jonatan Berggren R | 11:15 | −0.15 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 14:49 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.12 | −0.29 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jakub Vrana L | 11:31 | −0.19 | +0.16 | −0.34 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Copp C | 22:40 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 14:45 | −0.22 | −0.05 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| David Perron L | 16:32 | −0.41 | +0.16 | −0.58 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ville Husso G | 60:00 | +1.71 |
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Wilson R | 19:12 | 1 | +0.28 | −0.07 | +0.55 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| T.J. Oshie R | 19:04 | +0.18 | +0.07 | −0.30 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.38 | +0.01 | ||
| Dylan McIlrath D | 8:38 | +0.08 | +0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Jensen D | 16:46 | +0.01 | +0.07 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 9:37 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Gustafsson D | 23:35 | 1 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nic Dowd C | 13:28 | −0.11 | +0.09 | −0.15 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 19:52 | −0.11 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.03 | ||
| Marcus Johansson L | 15:20 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Dmitry Orlov D | 21:54 | −0.15 | −0.11 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Conor Sheary L | 18:32 | −0.17 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 19:57 | −0.18 | −0.18 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sonny Milano L | 13:47 | −0.19 | −0.08 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Mantha R | 8:18 | −0.20 | −0.03 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evgeny Kuznetsov C | 19:13 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.21 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Martin Fehérváry D | 19:18 | −0.25 | −0.03 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicklas Backstrom C | 19:15 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.05 | −0.38 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| Lars Eller C | 11:05 | −0.39 | −0.12 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 57:09 | −0.74 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.