CBJ beat DAL 4–1. Expected goals were close to even (CBJ 2.3, DAL 2.4), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Adam Boqvist scored at 5:49 of the third, moving CBJ’s win probability from 48% to 76%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CBJ–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 17:41 | CBJ | Liam Foudy from Jack Roslovic, Emil Bemstrom | 1–0 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 6:29 |  DAL | Ty Dellandrea unassisted | 1–1 | 33% → 53% |
| P3 5:49 | CBJ | Adam Boqvist from Sean Kuraly, Mathieu Olivier | 2–1 | 48% → 76% |
| P3 15:32 | CBJ | Mathieu Olivier from Eric Robinson, Sean Kuraly | 3–1 | 88% → 99% |
| P3 18:40 | CBJ | Eric RobinsonEN from Mathieu Olivier | 4–1 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Boqvist D | 16:11 | 1 | +0.99 | +0.08 | +0.73 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Mathieu Olivier R | 18:41 | 1 | 2 | +0.77 | +0.05 | +0.72 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Liam Foudy C | 12:52 | 1 | +0.63 | −0.08 | +0.72 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrik Laine L | 19:01 | +0.11 | +0.10 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Boone Jenner C | 20:26 | +0.04 | +0.12 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Gavin Bayreuther D | 12:51 | +0.03 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tim Berni D | 20:16 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Gudbranson D | 24:58 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 23:33 | −0.12 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Blankenburg D | 20:26 | −0.13 | −0.08 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Roslovic C | 13:48 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Kirill Marchenko R | 18:24 | −0.14 | +0.11 | −0.26 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lane Pederson C | 9:08 | −0.16 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kent Johnson C | 8:12 | −0.17 | −0.10 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 18:12 | 2 | −0.19 | +0.12 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.04 | |
| Eric Robinson L | 19:35 | 1 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.03 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Cole Sillinger C | 9:01 | −0.31 | −0.21 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Emil Bemstrom C | 13:00 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.08 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 59:25 | +0.82 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Dellandrea C | 15:12 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.12 | +0.72 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Colin Miller D | 18:36 | +0.19 | +0.03 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Fredrik Karlstrom C | 11:38 | +0.12 | +0.16 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Marchment L | 14:46 | +0.09 | +0.11 | −0.06 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Suter D | 20:16 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 17:18 | +0.02 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jani Hakanpää D | 17:28 | +0.02 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Benn L | 15:55 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Fredrik Olofsson L | 13:17 | −0.05 | +0.05 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Joe Pavelski C | 17:59 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Wyatt Johnston C | 17:15 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Nils Lundkvist D | 19:42 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Denis Gurianov R | 11:32 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Seguin C | 15:49 | −0.10 | +0.08 | −0.21 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 11:15 | −0.10 | +0.15 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Roope Hintz C | 17:30 | −0.22 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Miro Heiskanen D | 25:01 | −0.22 | +0.10 | −0.33 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Robertson L | 18:06 | −0.37 | −0.14 | −0.21 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood G | 59:25 | −0.83 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.