SEA beat PHI 4–3. SEA also won the expected-goals battle 2.2 to 1.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jaden Schwartz scored at 18:59 of the second, moving SEA’s win probability from 48% to 72%. Felix Sandstrom allowed 2.2 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SEA–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:11 | PHI | Owen TippettPP from Rasmus Ristolainen, Scott Laughton | 0–1 | 54% → 69% |
| P1 12:53 |  SEA | Jordan Eberle from Jared McCann | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P1 17:01 | SEA | Eeli Tolvanen from Oliver Bjorkstrand | 2–1 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 3:33 | PHI | James van Riemsdyk from Owen Tippett, Morgan Frost | 2–2 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 18:59 | SEA | Jaden Schwartz from Jordan Eberle, Alexander Wennberg | 3–2 | 48% → 72% |
| P3 1:03 | SEA | Jaden Schwartz from Alexander Wennberg, Will Borgen | 4–2 | 73% → 90% |
| P3 16:40 | PHI | Patrick BrownSH from Ivan Provorov, Rasmus Ristolainen | 4–3 | 1% → 9% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Schwartz C | 14:53 | 2 | +1.33 | +0.20 | +1.14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jordan Eberle R | 17:34 | 1 | 1 | +0.90 | +0.14 | +0.73 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 15:50 | 1 | +0.85 | +0.09 | +0.77 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Larsson D | 26:19 | +0.29 | +0.29 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Tanev L | 16:50 | +0.25 | +0.27 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 20:20 | +0.23 | +0.24 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 16:44 | 2 | +0.16 | +0.22 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matty Beniers C | 17:05 | +0.14 | +0.18 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 16:43 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jared McCann L | 16:14 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.04 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Yanni Gourde C | 17:55 | +0.03 | +0.12 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Justin Schultz D | 15:49 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Daniel Sprong R | 8:40 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Borgen D | 17:29 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.16 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Vince Dunn D | 22:50 | −0.10 | +0.17 | −0.11 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Carson Soucy D | 17:11 | −0.11 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 8:59 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 8:55 | −0.22 | −0.08 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer G | 60:00 | −1.50 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Brown C | 13:58 | 1 | +1.05 | +0.04 | +0.83 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 16:55 | 1 | +0.55 | −0.19 | +0.74 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Owen Tippett R | 16:19 | 1 | 1 | +0.47 | −0.09 | +0.56 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 19:04 | 2 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cam York D | 18:54 | −0.07 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 21:26 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Farabee L | 15:59 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 13:06 | −0.09 | +0.04 | −0.11 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 15:37 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Wade Allison R | 11:54 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 20:04 | −0.10 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 16:02 | −0.11 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 18:19 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Frost C | 16:18 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.12 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Olle Lycksell R | 10:48 | −0.27 | −0.11 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Hayes R | 17:44 | −0.31 | −0.30 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 15:54 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.21 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Tony DeAngelo D | 21:15 | −0.39 | −0.20 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Sandstrom G | 58:24 | −2.23 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.