ANA beat CHI 3–2 in overtime. ANA lost the expected-goals battle 2.2 to 2.7 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Frank Vatrano scored at 2:15 of overtime, moving ANA’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 1:36 | CHI | Jason Dickinson from Patrick Kane | 0–1 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 8:25 | ANA | Brett Leason from Jayson Megna, John Klingberg | 1–1 | 27% → 47% |
| P2 13:09 | CHI | Seth Jones from Jason Dickinson, Tyler Johnson | 1–2 | 53% → 75% |
| P2 15:42 | ANA | Jayson Megna from Brett Leason | 2–2 | 25% → 47% |
| OT 2:15 | ANA | Frank Vatrano from Isac Lundeström, John Klingberg | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Megna C | 12:38 | 1 | 1 | +0.84 | +0.06 | +0.79 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Frank Vatrano R | 16:07 | 1 | +0.72 | +0.01 | +0.73 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Brett Leason R | 11:39 | 1 | 1 | +0.69 | +0.03 | +0.67 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Simon Benoit D | 21:35 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Klingberg D | 18:43 | 2 | −0.04 | +0.16 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Colton White D | 17:52 | −0.05 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 16:06 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.12 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Adam Henrique C | 16:24 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Dmitry Kulikov D | 21:08 | −0.10 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Derek Grant C | 11:04 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 16:02 | −0.18 | −0.10 | −0.12 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Maxime Comtois L | 15:05 | −0.25 | +0.03 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 19:21 | −0.25 | −0.08 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 15:57 | −0.26 | −0.13 | −0.14 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 19:02 | −0.29 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 22:43 | −0.37 | −0.18 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Max Jones L | 14:11 | −0.39 | −0.07 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason McTavish C | 15:08 | −0.42 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.19 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz G | 62:15 | +0.67 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Jones D | 24:42 | 1 | +0.93 | +0.24 | +0.74 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jason Dickinson C | 14:30 | 1 | 1 | +0.84 | +0.19 | +0.49 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.02 |
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 13:58 | +0.14 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Caleb Jones D | 18:03 | +0.10 | +0.10 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 21:48 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.25 | −0.25 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Colin Blackwell C | 11:18 | +0.04 | −0.10 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Sam Lafferty C | 13:47 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Max Domi C | 20:49 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.13 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Boris Katchouk L | 9:56 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ian Mitchell D | 17:46 | −0.09 | +0.10 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 11:01 | −0.10 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jack Johnson D | 18:07 | −0.12 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Johnson C | 19:44 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.19 | −0.33 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Reese Johnson C | 11:16 | −0.16 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 18:33 | −0.17 | −0.13 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake McCabe D | 22:07 | −0.21 | −0.04 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Raddysh R | 16:49 | −0.26 | +0.07 | −0.32 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 18:31 | −0.31 | −0.01 | −0.30 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Mrazek G | 62:15 | −0.60 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.