WSH beat CBJ 4–3 in overtime. WSH also won the expected-goals battle 3.3 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Evgeny Kuznetsov scored at 0:26 of overtime, moving WSH’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WSH–CBJ | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:06 | WSH | Garnet Hathaway from Lars Eller, Nick Jensen | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 14:28 | WSH | Trevor van Riemsdyk from Nicolas Aube-Kubel | 2–0 | 64% → 78% |
| P1 14:40 | CBJ | Andrew Peeke from Patrik Laine | 2–1 | 22% → 36% |
| P2 8:26 | WSH | Trevor van Riemsdyk from Evgeny Kuznetsov, Erik Gustafsson | 3–1 | 68% → 84% |
| P2 11:03 | CBJ | Eric Robinson from Mathieu Olivier | 3–2 | 15% → 31% |
| P3 12:44 | CBJ | Johnny Gaudreau from Gavin Bayreuther | 3–3 | 17% → 51% |
| OT 0:26 | WSH | Evgeny Kuznetsov from Marcus Johansson, Erik Gustafsson | 4–3 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 19:51 | 2 | +1.75 | +0.06 | +1.65 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov C | 16:05 | 1 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.03 | +0.87 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 |
| Garnet Hathaway R | 10:55 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.15 | +0.58 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Irwin D | 9:37 | +0.09 | +0.10 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Mantha R | 12:37 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Aube-Kubel R | 14:10 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Erik Gustafsson D | 19:34 | 2 | −0.11 | +0.11 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sonny Milano L | 13:11 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.31 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Fehérváry D | 20:46 | −0.14 | +0.14 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Johansson L | 16:49 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Dylan Strome C | 11:18 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Dmitry Orlov D | 25:36 | −0.23 | −0.22 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Jensen D | 23:17 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.21 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Lars Eller C | 16:53 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.02 | −0.29 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Alex Ovechkin L | 16:30 | −0.30 | −0.10 | −0.21 | +0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| T.J. Oshie R | 17:46 | −0.40 | −0.02 | −0.42 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Conor Sheary L | 12:37 | −0.41 | −0.02 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicklas Backstrom C | 17:46 | −0.55 | +0.03 | −0.57 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren G | 60:26 | −0.18 |
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Peeke D | 23:55 | 1 | +0.78 | −0.04 | +0.84 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Johnny Gaudreau L | 20:21 | 1 | +0.76 | −0.01 | +0.69 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Eric Robinson L | 14:54 | 1 | +0.68 | +0.17 | +0.51 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Sean Kuraly C | 15:35 | +0.22 | +0.17 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Erik Gudbranson D | 24:23 | +0.11 | +0.02 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Bjork D | 13:05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tim Berni D | 21:12 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 23:49 | −0.01 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emil Bemstrom C | 7:43 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jack Roslovic C | 9:19 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kent Johnson C | 15:16 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gavin Bayreuther D | 12:06 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.05 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Liam Foudy C | 6:41 | −0.15 | −0.06 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Boone Jenner C | 19:32 | −0.21 | +0.13 | −0.33 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrik Laine L | 20:00 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.06 | −0.31 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Cole Sillinger C | 16:14 | −0.36 | −0.23 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Mathieu Olivier R | 14:43 | 1 | −0.39 | +0.20 | −0.39 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Kirill Marchenko R | 16:30 | −0.41 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 60:26 | −0.24 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.