LAK beat FLA 4–3. LAK lost the expected-goals battle 2.4 to 5.3 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Anze Kopitar scored at 13:25 of the first, moving LAK’s win probability from 47% to 64%. Pheonix Copley saved 1.9 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–FLA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 13:25 | LAK | Anze Kopitar from Quinton Byfield, Adrian Kempe | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 17:58 | LAK | Adrian KempeSH from Blake Lizotte | 2–0 | 64% → 79% |
| P2 9:58 | LAK | Viktor ArvidssonSH from Mikey Anderson, Phillip Danault | 3–0 | 84% → 95% |
| P2 13:23 |  FLA | Ryan Lomberg from Nick Cousins, Eric Staal | 3–1 | 4% → 14% |
| P2 16:19 | FLA | Brandon Montour from Matthew Tkachuk, Carter Verhaeghe | 3–2 | 13% → 29% |
| P3 18:58 | LAK | Matt RoyEN unassisted | 4–2 | 94% → 100% |
| P3 19:26 | FLA | Carter VerhaeghePP from Matthew Tkachuk, Aleksander Barkov | 4–3 | 0% → 5% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 17:01 | 1 | +0.47 | −0.17 | +0.63 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 20:28 | 1 | +0.21 | −0.47 | +0.65 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Sean Walker D | 16:32 | +0.17 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 17:46 | 1 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.36 | +0.50 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Blake Lizotte C | 16:23 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.02 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.04 | |
| Rasmus Kupari C | 7:14 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jaret Anderson-Dolan C | 13:26 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Samuel Fagemo L | 5:11 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 5:36 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 22:39 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tobias Bjornfot D | 13:27 | −0.36 | −0.03 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 18:42 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.20 | −0.28 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Drew Doughty D | 23:34 | −0.49 | −0.66 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 18:31 | −0.53 | −0.29 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Durzi D | 21:21 | −0.60 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.38 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 16:31 | −0.62 | −0.08 | −0.34 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 11:38 | 1 | −0.63 | −0.44 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Mikey Anderson D | 21:39 | 1 | −0.80 | −0.68 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Pheonix Copley G | 59:21 | +1.92 |
FLA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Montour D | 28:10 | 1 | +0.95 | +0.23 | +0.72 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Carter Verhaeghe C | 21:45 | 1 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.46 | +0.57 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Ryan Lomberg L | 11:45 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.06 | +0.57 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joshua Mahura D | 13:42 | +0.49 | +0.50 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radko Gudas D | 16:29 | +0.43 | +0.41 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Cousins C | 9:37 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.11 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Marc Staal D | 15:21 | +0.09 | +0.08 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Givani Smith R | 4:13 | +0.05 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gustav Forsling D | 18:01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Anton Lundell C | 15:25 | −0.04 | −0.07 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Matthew Tkachuk L | 25:36 | 2 | −0.05 | +0.61 | −0.75 | +0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Eetu Luostarinen C | 13:28 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Eric Staal C | 11:29 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.08 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Aaron Ekblad D | 25:40 | −0.20 | +0.27 | −0.51 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin White C | 5:25 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Bennett C | 17:45 | −0.28 | +0.27 | −0.68 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.04 | ||
| Sam Reinhart C | 20:59 | −0.31 | +0.13 | −0.41 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Aleksander Barkov C | 21:03 | 1 | −0.49 | +0.37 | −0.78 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.07 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Lyon G | 58:07 | −0.08 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.