MIN beat PHI 3–2 in overtime. MIN also won the expected-goals battle 3.5 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Mats Zuccarello scored at 2:08 of overtime, moving MIN’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–MIN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:14 | PHI | Noah Cates from Rasmus Ristolainen | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P2 3:39 | MIN | Matt Boldy from Marcus Foligno, Jared Spurgeon | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P3 4:48 | MIN | Matt BoldyPP from Kirill Kaprizov, Mats Zuccarello | 1–2 | 53% → 79% |
| P3 18:32 | PHI | Tony DeAngeloPP from Kevin Hayes, Ivan Provorov | 2–2 | 5% → 50% |
| OT 2:08 | MIN | Mats Zuccarello from Calen Addison, Matt Boldy | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony DeAngelo D | 20:01 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.06 | +0.72 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Noah Cates L | 17:43 | 1 | +0.42 | −0.13 | +0.58 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Nick Seeler D | 13:16 | +0.11 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 17:43 | +0.04 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 17:55 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zack MacEwen C | 1:50 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 18:30 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.09 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 6:12 | −0.22 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Brown C | 9:47 | −0.23 | −0.17 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Wade Allison R | 5:40 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam York D | 24:21 | −0.26 | −0.26 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Frost C | 19:47 | −0.26 | −0.02 | −0.30 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 25:12 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Farabee L | 17:22 | −0.26 | −0.20 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Kevin Hayes R | 21:11 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.18 | −0.32 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.02 | |
| Owen Tippett R | 19:53 | −0.40 | −0.02 | −0.37 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 19:44 | −0.59 | −0.03 | −0.36 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 24:53 | −0.61 | −0.16 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.08 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart G | 61:53 | −0.13 |
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Boldy L | 17:14 | 2 | 1 | +1.41 | +0.14 | +1.26 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Mats Zuccarello C | 21:01 | 1 | 1 | +1.10 | +0.36 | +0.69 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Jon Merrill D | 11:33 | +0.35 | +0.17 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Middleton D | 20:28 | +0.16 | +0.17 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Calen Addison D | 16:09 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.33 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Marcus Foligno L | 16:03 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.09 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Reaves R | 5:32 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathew Dumba D | 21:21 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 17:01 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Brodin D | 24:59 | −0.07 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Duhaime R | 10:11 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared Spurgeon D | 24:13 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.06 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Eriksson Ek C | 18:55 | −0.10 | +0.11 | −0.26 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Mason Shaw C | 8:03 | −0.12 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Kirill Kaprizov L | 22:19 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.45 | −0.44 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Dewar C | 9:00 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.35 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Sam Steel C | 20:45 | −0.22 | +0.11 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.03 | ||
| Jordan Greenway L | 15:37 | −0.23 | −0.06 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury G | 62:08 | +0.79 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.