VAN beat CHI 5–2. VAN also won the expected-goals battle 4.9 to 1.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Dakota Joshua scored at 11:34 of the third, moving VAN’s win probability from 52% to 84%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 17:49 | CHI | Patrick Kane from Caleb Jones, Max Domi | 1–0 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 7:02 | VAN | Andrei Kuzmenko from Ilya Mikheyev, Elias Pettersson | 1–1 | 33% → 53% |
| P2 12:06 | CHI | Sam Lafferty from Jake McCabe, Seth Jones | 2–1 | 47% → 69% |
| P2 15:47 | VAN | Andrei Kuzmenko from Elias Pettersson, Luke Schenn | 2–2 | 29% → 53% |
| P3 11:34 | VAN | Dakota Joshua from Brock Boeser, Quinn Hughes | 2–3 | 52% → 84% |
| P3 12:08 | VAN | Sheldon Dries from Conor Garland, J.T. Miller | 2–4 | 85% → 97% |
| P3 18:34 | VAN | Bo HorvatEN from Luke Schenn | 2–5 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Lafferty C | 16:19 | 1 | +0.72 | −0.23 | +0.80 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.19 | −0.06 | |
| Patrick Kane R | 20:55 | 1 | +0.59 | −0.24 | +0.81 | +0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Colin Blackwell C | 12:02 | +0.13 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Toews C | 17:12 | +0.01 | −0.16 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.07 | ||
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 8:48 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Reese Johnson C | 11:05 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Luke Philp C | 8:45 | −0.14 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 14:08 | −0.21 | −0.03 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ian Mitchell D | 16:03 | −0.21 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 19:44 | −0.22 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Johnson D | 17:44 | −0.23 | −0.23 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Caleb Jones D | 19:35 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Taylor Raddysh R | 16:15 | −0.26 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 21:53 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.12 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 17:42 | −0.32 | −0.30 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jake McCabe D | 20:54 | 1 | −0.45 | −0.19 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Max Domi C | 14:23 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.22 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Philipp Kurashev C | 18:24 | −0.60 | −0.27 | −0.32 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Mrazek G | 58:09 | +0.79 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 15:03 | 2 | +1.42 | +0.34 | +1.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dakota Joshua C | 12:07 | 1 | +1.03 | +0.21 | +0.63 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Sheldon Dries C | 13:34 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.09 | +0.71 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Elias Pettersson C | 18:26 | 2 | +0.27 | +0.21 | −0.11 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.06 | |
| Tyler Myers D | 20:10 | +0.21 | +0.24 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinn Hughes D | 22:20 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.30 | +0.01 | +0.08 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Dermott D | 14:55 | +0.13 | +0.16 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Burroughs D | 12:59 | +0.02 | +0.09 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Lockwood R | 6:14 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 23:27 | −0.04 | +0.18 | −0.24 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 14:27 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.22 | −0.27 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jack Studnicka C | 13:00 | −0.17 | +0.04 | −0.18 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| J.T. Miller C | 19:16 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.20 | −0.43 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Luke Schenn D | 17:09 | 2 | −0.24 | +0.15 | −0.20 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Curtis Lazar C | 11:45 | −0.25 | +0.06 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.03 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 23:56 | 1 | −0.28 | +0.24 | −0.66 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.02 | |
| Brock Boeser R | 18:59 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.13 | −0.50 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Conor Garland R | 16:13 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.00 | −0.49 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Collin Delia G | 60:00 | −0.69 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.