NJD beat VGK 3–2 in overtime. NJD also won the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Dougie Hamilton scored on the power play at 3:54 of overtime, moving NJD’s win probability from 54% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:58 | NJD | Ondrej Palat from Nico Hischier, Jesper Bratt | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P2 12:00 |  VGK | Ben Hutton from Nicolas Hague, Chandler Stephenson | 1–1 | 26% → 47% |
| P2 14:51 | VGK | William Karlsson from Jonathan Marchessault, Reilly Smith | 2–1 | 47% → 70% |
| P3 18:50 | NJD | Dougie HamiltonPP from Jesper Bratt, Jack Hughes | 2–2 | 6% → 50% |
| OT 3:54 | NJD | Dougie HamiltonPP from Jack Hughes, Vitek Vanecek | 2–3 | 54% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Hutton D | 21:21 | 1 | +0.48 | −0.13 | +0.81 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| William Karlsson C | 17:54 | 1 | +0.46 | +0.01 | +0.47 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Alec Martinez D | 16:59 | +0.21 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Roy C | 16:54 | +0.14 | +0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Keegan Kolesar R | 11:37 | +0.11 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaedan Korczak D | 16:16 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden McNabb D | 18:35 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Hague D | 19:41 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Paul Cotter C | 17:34 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.06 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 11:29 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Byron Froese C | 12:13 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 26:32 | −0.11 | −0.11 | −0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phil Kessel R | 13:55 | −0.16 | +0.04 | −0.21 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chandler Stephenson C | 19:04 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.09 | −0.09 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jack Eichel C | 19:35 | −0.27 | −0.13 | −0.33 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.05 | ||
| Michael Amadio R | 14:03 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.28 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 19:36 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.06 | −0.29 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Reilly Smith R | 18:24 | 1 | −0.50 | −0.11 | −0.41 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson G | 63:54 | +0.57 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dougie Hamilton D | 24:49 | 2 | +1.56 | +0.13 | +1.42 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ondrej Palat L | 14:10 | 1 | +0.62 | +0.03 | +0.72 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 13:28 | +0.20 | +0.21 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 19:16 | 2 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.04 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Haula L | 18:05 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Kevin Bahl D | 9:10 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 20:17 | −0.10 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Tatar L | 15:15 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dawson Mercer C | 14:14 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Damon Severson D | 26:54 | −0.11 | +0.22 | −0.25 | −0.05 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Boqvist C | 11:56 | −0.12 | +0.08 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael McLeod C | 14:08 | −0.12 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Ryan Graves D | 24:24 | −0.14 | +0.04 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nathan Bastian R | 9:28 | −0.16 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Miles Wood L | 11:33 | −0.22 | +0.02 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nico Hischier C | 19:36 | 1 | −0.42 | +0.11 | −0.60 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Brendan Smith D | 18:32 | −0.45 | −0.10 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Hughes C | 22:14 | 2 | −0.47 | +0.14 | −0.60 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Vitek Vanecek G | 63:20 | +0.72 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.