LAK beat PHI 4–3 in overtime. LAK also won the expected-goals battle 3.5 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Kevin Fiala scored at 1:09 of overtime, moving LAK’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:50 | James van Riemsdyk from Owen Tippett, Ivan Provorov | 0–1 | 54% → 69% | |
| P1 9:21 | Anze KopitarPP from Kevin Fiala, Drew Doughty | 1–1 | 31% → 47% | |
| P1 10:27 | Wade Allison from Kevin Hayes, Ivan Provorov | 1–2 | 53% → 70% | |
| P1 11:40 | Anze Kopitar from Adrian Kempe, Quinton Byfield | 2–2 | 30% → 47% | |
| P2 10:37 | Rasmus Ristolainen from James van Riemsdyk, Morgan Frost | 2–3 | 53% → 74% | |
| P2 18:36 | Samuel Fagemo from Blake Lizotte | 3–3 | 24% → 47% | |
| OT 1:09 | Kevin Fiala unassisted | 4–3 | 48% → 100% |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anze Kopitar C | 20:46 | 2 | +1.37 | +0.27 | +0.99 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Samuel Fagemo L | 6:48 | 1 | +0.82 | +0.03 | +0.80 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Fiala L | 18:46 | 1 | 1 | +0.70 | +0.09 | +0.61 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Drew Doughty D | 27:18 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.16 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Alexander Edler D | 16:22 | +0.24 | +0.29 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 14:27 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Sean Walker D | 16:43 | +0.15 | +0.20 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Durzi D | 15:10 | +0.11 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 21:46 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 16:00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 6:56 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 18:45 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Rasmus Kupari C | 8:50 | −0.11 | +0.03 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 15:29 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.18 | −0.33 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Alex Iafallo L | 19:59 | −0.19 | −0.06 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 17:18 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.18 | −0.22 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jaret Anderson-Dolan C | 16:16 | −0.39 | −0.08 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 20:06 | −0.45 | +0.12 | −0.44 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.08 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Pheonix Copley G | 60:51 | −0.42 |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 15:28 | 1 | +0.55 | −0.08 | +0.82 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Wade Allison R | 12:03 | 1 | +0.45 | +0.06 | +0.41 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 13:23 | 1 | 1 | +0.23 | −0.01 | +0.64 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.38 | +0.00 |
| Ivan Provorov D | 25:16 | 2 | +0.16 | +0.17 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Scott Laughton C | 19:00 | +0.05 | +0.04 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.05 | ||
| Patrick Brown C | 10:55 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 20:14 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.11 | ||
| Cam York D | 23:26 | −0.07 | +0.05 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Hayes R | 16:48 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Joel Farabee L | 17:53 | −0.14 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 12:52 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.04 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Seeler D | 15:57 | −0.16 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zack MacEwen C | 8:34 | −0.23 | −0.08 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Morgan Frost C | 15:17 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.09 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Travis Konecny R | 20:10 | −0.38 | −0.31 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 10:38 | −0.54 | −0.09 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 19:09 | −0.56 | −0.27 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Tony DeAngelo D | 18:20 | −0.73 | −0.27 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.05 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart G | 61:09 | −0.65 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.