BOS beat MTL 4–2. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 1.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Patrice Bergeron scored at 17:05 of the third, moving BOS’s win probability from 49% to 91%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–MTL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 9:11 |  MTL | Kirby DachPP from Evgenii Dadonov, Mike Hoffman | 0–1 | 54% → 74% |
| P2 14:12 | BOS | Taylor HallPP from David Pastrnak, Charlie McAvoy | 1–1 | 26% → 47% |
| P3 9:45 | BOS | David Krejci from David Pastrnak, Pavel Zacha | 2–1 | 48% → 80% |
| P3 11:31 | MTL | Kirby Dach from Alex Belzile, Justin Barron | 2–2 | 18% → 52% |
| P3 17:05 | BOS | Patrice Bergeron from Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak | 3–2 | 49% → 91% |
| P3 19:11 | BOS | David PastrnakEN from David Krejci | 4–2 | 95% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Hall L | 15:50 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.02 | +0.51 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| David Krejci C | 16:38 | 1 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.08 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Patrice Bergeron C | 17:20 | 1 | +0.65 | +0.28 | +0.40 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Connor Clifton D | 16:00 | +0.30 | +0.28 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 21:44 | +0.24 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 19:04 | +0.18 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 22:22 | +0.13 | +0.20 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Craig Smith C | 11:55 | +0.08 | +0.14 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 14:09 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| A.J. Greer L | 7:36 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joona Koppanen L | 8:02 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 19:41 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.24 | −0.35 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trent Frederic C | 13:17 | −0.13 | +0.11 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie Coyle C | 19:07 | −0.15 | +0.09 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Derek Forbort D | 16:51 | −0.15 | +0.10 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 17:07 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.15 | −0.32 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Charlie McAvoy D | 20:47 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| David Pastrnak R | 17:59 | 1 | 3 | −0.29 | +0.11 | −0.41 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 60:00 | −0.49 |
MTL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirby Dach C | 23:59 | 2 | +1.33 | +0.01 | +1.30 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Nick Suzuki C | 23:21 | +0.07 | −0.26 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.38 | +0.03 | ||
| Alex Belzile R | 9:35 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.05 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Rafael Harvey-Pinard L | 13:17 | −0.03 | −0.15 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Arber Xhekaj D | 10:43 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Barron D | 15:47 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jesse Ylonen R | 15:32 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Jordan Harris D | 17:23 | −0.08 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Pezzetta L | 9:37 | −0.10 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 19:45 | −0.13 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Johnathan Kovacevic D | 13:48 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Savard D | 17:43 | −0.20 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rem Pitlick C | 19:50 | −0.20 | −0.16 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Hoffman C | 18:33 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.04 | −0.15 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Evgenii Dadonov L | 14:43 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.08 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Josh Anderson R | 19:34 | −0.38 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Matheson D | 19:55 | −0.40 | −0.12 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Dvorak C | 14:15 | −0.45 | −0.40 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.06 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Samuel Montembeault G | 58:18 | +0.02 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.