NJD beat LAK 5–2. NJD lost the expected-goals battle 2.7 to 3.5 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Nikita Okhotiuk scored at 7:40 of the second, moving NJD’s win probability from 47% to 68%. Mackenzie Blackwood saved 1.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NJD–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:32 |  LAK | Kevin FialaPP from Adrian Kempe, Drew Doughty | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P1 12:51 | NJD | Tomas TatarPP from Nico Hischier, Jack Hughes | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P2 2:37 | NJD | Erik Haula from Dawson Mercer | 2–1 | 47% → 66% |
| P2 6:48 | LAK | Anze KopitarPP from Drew Doughty, Gabriel Vilardi | 2–2 | 33% → 53% |
| P2 7:40 | NJD | Nikita Okhotiuk from Ondrej Palat, Jack Hughes | 3–2 | 47% → 68% |
| P2 10:57 | NJD | Ryan Graves from Yegor Sharangovich | 4–2 | 69% → 85% |
| P3 18:56 | NJD | Jesper BrattEN from Yegor Sharangovich, Ryan Graves | 5–2 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Graves D | 23:40 | 1 | 1 | +0.85 | −0.08 | +0.92 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Nikita Okhotiuk D | 12:01 | 1 | +0.84 | −0.04 | +0.89 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tomas Tatar L | 17:28 | 1 | +0.60 | +0.05 | +0.74 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Nico Hischier C | 18:49 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.11 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.06 | |
| Erik Haula L | 13:21 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.07 | +0.31 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Ondrej Palat L | 14:29 | 1 | +0.16 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Michael McLeod C | 13:55 | +0.06 | −0.05 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Jesper Boqvist C | 14:22 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nolan Foote L | 7:45 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Dawson Mercer C | 17:51 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Dougie Hamilton D | 19:19 | −0.16 | +0.11 | −0.28 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 15:00 | 2 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 19:23 | −0.24 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Miles Wood L | 9:39 | −0.26 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Damon Severson D | 24:58 | −0.29 | −0.11 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Smith D | 16:12 | −0.34 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Hughes C | 19:20 | 2 | −0.36 | −0.01 | −0.32 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Jesper Bratt L | 16:29 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.11 | −0.56 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood G | 60:00 | +1.52 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anze Kopitar C | 22:33 | 1 | +0.33 | +0.06 | +0.26 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Kevin Fiala L | 19:34 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.15 | +0.16 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 15:47 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Drew Doughty D | 28:15 | 2 | +0.10 | +0.08 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 16:51 | +0.05 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 12:02 | +0.04 | +0.05 | −0.15 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.03 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 21:53 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 18:57 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Brendan Lemieux L | 6:35 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 19:29 | +0.00 | +0.07 | −0.09 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Durzi D | 22:21 | −0.06 | +0.04 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Edler D | 9:46 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaret Anderson-Dolan C | 7:05 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Walker D | 12:11 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Kupari C | 8:59 | −0.13 | −0.04 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 22:41 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.04 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Iafallo L | 17:06 | −0.22 | +0.05 | −0.45 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 14:59 | −0.40 | −0.02 | −0.21 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick G | 58:08 | −1.40 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.