CGY beat ANA 3–2 in overtime. CGY also won the expected-goals battle 4.2 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Rasmus Andersson scored at 2:24 of overtime, moving CGY’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CGY–ANA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:19 | CGY | Michael Stone from Adam Ruzicka, Nikita Zadorov | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 16:44 |  ANA | Mason McTavishPP from Cam Fowler, Troy Terry | 1–1 | 39% → 54% |
| P2 2:56 | CGY | Brett Ritchie from Trevor Lewis | 2–1 | 48% → 66% |
| P3 3:28 | ANA | Jakob SilfverbergPP from Frank Vatrano, Ryan Strome | 2–2 | 26% → 52% |
| OT 2:24 | CGY | Rasmus Andersson from Tyler Toffoli, Jonathan Huberdeau | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CGY
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Andersson D | 27:35 | 1 | +0.97 | +0.37 | +0.59 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Stone D | 9:05 | 1 | +0.95 | +0.04 | +0.92 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brett Ritchie R | 9:05 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.06 | +0.55 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Nazem Kadri C | 19:39 | +0.20 | +0.08 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Tyler Toffoli C | 16:07 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.21 | −0.34 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Nikita Zadorov D | 18:38 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.22 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Mangiapane L | 15:41 | +0.04 | +0.11 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Hanifin D | 21:39 | −0.04 | +0.26 | −0.30 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| MacKenzie Weegar D | 18:42 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Huberdeau L | 18:09 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.10 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Lewis C | 12:25 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.02 | −0.10 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Milan Lucic L | 11:48 | −0.10 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Tanev D | 21:43 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Lindholm C | 18:48 | −0.12 | +0.23 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Blake Coleman L | 13:50 | −0.16 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Mikael Backlund C | 18:34 | −0.17 | +0.32 | −0.53 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Adam Ruzicka C | 11:39 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.12 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Dillon Dube C | 16:03 | −0.55 | +0.24 | −0.57 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom G | 61:52 | +0.19 |
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 17:09 | 1 | +0.53 | −0.14 | +0.68 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Mason McTavish C | 15:49 | 1 | +0.43 | −0.04 | +0.55 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Justin Kirkland C | 6:01 | +0.11 | +0.03 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nathan Beaulieu D | 14:03 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitry Kulikov D | 20:37 | −0.07 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 18:46 | −0.10 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Carrick C | 9:40 | −0.12 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jayson Megna C | 10:18 | −0.13 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 15:28 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.27 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.04 | |
| Cam Fowler D | 25:12 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.06 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Henrique C | 20:54 | −0.22 | −0.07 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Maxime Comtois L | 12:31 | −0.28 | −0.16 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Leason R | 10:58 | −0.29 | −0.17 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Simon Benoit D | 20:47 | −0.29 | −0.25 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 22:20 | −0.29 | −0.35 | −0.00 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Troy Terry R | 18:58 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.03 | −0.45 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Frank Vatrano R | 20:13 | 1 | −0.60 | −0.53 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| John Klingberg D | 19:53 | −0.98 | −0.49 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.38 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal G | 62:24 | +0.86 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.