COL beat NSH 3–2 in overtime. COL also won the expected-goals battle 4.2 to 3.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Samuel Girard scored at 4:17 of overtime, moving COL’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Alexandar Georgiev saved 1.8 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | COL–NSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 12:26 |  NSH | Ryan JohansenPP from Tommy Novak, Roman Josi | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P2 6:22 | NSH | Matt Duchene from Cody Glass, Nino Niederreiter | 0–2 | 74% → 87% |
| P2 12:46 | COL | Mikko Rantanen from Logan O'Connor | 1–2 | 11% → 25% |
| P3 15:05 | COL | J.T. Compher from Artturi Lehkonen, Mikko Rantanen | 2–2 | 11% → 49% |
| OT 4:17 | COL | Samuel Girard from Evan Rodrigues | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
COL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Compher L | 24:50 | 1 | +0.99 | +0.11 | +0.68 | −0.05 | +0.06 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Samuel Girard D | 23:40 | 1 | +0.47 | −0.03 | +0.50 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jacob MacDonald D | 4:33 | +0.20 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Devon Toews D | 29:10 | +0.08 | +0.03 | −0.03 | +0.04 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andreas Englund D | 11:39 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cale Makar D | 30:08 | −0.03 | +0.22 | −0.34 | +0.05 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Kaut R | 5:35 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Kurtis MacDermid L | 1:12 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 24:58 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.10 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Valeri Nichushkin R | 13:31 | −0.11 | −0.04 | −0.24 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Hunt D | 10:32 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Logan O'Connor R | 13:39 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.05 | −0.26 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mikko Rantanen R | 28:51 | 1 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.22 | −0.33 | +0.08 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Erik Johnson D | 18:12 | −0.24 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Denis Malgin C | 17:22 | −0.29 | +0.03 | −0.30 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Meyers C | 14:22 | −0.34 | +0.11 | −0.47 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Alex Newhook C | 16:42 | −0.37 | −0.20 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Evan Rodrigues C | 23:07 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.17 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandar Georgiev G | 64:09 | +1.76 |
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Duchene C | 18:47 | 1 | +0.49 | +0.00 | +0.42 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Ryan Johansen C | 15:32 | 1 | +0.35 | +0.06 | +0.48 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Juuso Parssinen C | 15:04 | +0.22 | +0.22 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Yakov Trenin C | 12:48 | +0.06 | +0.03 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Glass C | 11:58 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.08 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Mattias Ekholm D | 24:57 | +0.01 | +0.06 | −0.10 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Sissons C | 18:02 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Ryan McDonagh D | 22:59 | −0.03 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tommy Novak C | 13:08 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.12 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.07 | |
| Roman Josi D | 25:10 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Mikael Granlund C | 16:47 | −0.22 | −0.26 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jeremy Lauzon D | 15:53 | −0.26 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dante Fabbro D | 12:35 | −0.26 | −0.14 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexandre Carrier D | 23:57 | −0.27 | +0.13 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.38 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 16:23 | −0.31 | −0.07 | −0.23 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Nino Niederreiter R | 14:30 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.07 | −0.47 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Filip Forsberg L | 17:01 | −0.57 | −0.03 | −0.55 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Smith L | 13:22 | −0.70 | +0.02 | −0.71 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros G | 64:07 | +1.33 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.