DAL beat DET 3–2 in overtime. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 3.7 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Nils Lundkvist scored at 4:29 of overtime, moving DAL’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DET–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:48 | DET | Dylan Larkin from Austin Czarnik | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 18:06 | DAL | Denis Gurianov from Mason Marchment, Tyler Seguin | 1–1 | 35% → 53% |
| P2 16:00 | DAL | Jamie BennPP from Jason Robertson, Miro Heiskanen | 1–2 | 53% → 76% |
| P2 19:00 | DET | David Perron from Ben Chiarot, Moritz Seider | 2–2 | 23% → 48% |
| OT 4:29 | DAL | Nils Lundkvist from Mason Marchment | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Perron L | 16:12 | 1 | +0.84 | +0.07 | +0.76 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dylan Larkin C | 20:40 | 1 | +0.37 | −0.06 | +0.49 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Oskar Sundqvist C | 16:29 | +0.03 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Walman D | 18:09 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Austin Czarnik C | 11:36 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Michael Rasmussen C | 15:10 | −0.04 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 28:05 | −0.07 | +0.14 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pius Suter C | 15:30 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Dominik Kubalik L | 16:47 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Chiarot D | 24:26 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Moritz Seider D | 24:36 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Lucas Raymond L | 15:48 | −0.22 | −0.21 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 12:22 | −0.25 | −0.14 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Andrew Copp C | 16:14 | −0.32 | −0.21 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jonatan Berggren R | 12:33 | −0.41 | −0.21 | −0.20 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Oesterle D | 14:26 | −0.50 | −0.46 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Erne L | 15:06 | −0.53 | −0.13 | −0.40 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gustav Lindstrom D | 12:23 | −0.68 | −0.48 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ville Husso G | 64:29 | +0.36 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denis Gurianov R | 12:55 | 1 | +0.84 | +0.15 | +0.70 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nils Lundkvist D | 14:50 | 1 | +0.84 | +0.20 | +0.64 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Benn L | 17:03 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.08 | +0.53 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Joe Pavelski C | 20:23 | +0.28 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Jani Hakanpää D | 18:23 | +0.19 | +0.20 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 9:50 | +0.11 | +0.14 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Tyler Seguin C | 18:41 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.29 | −0.22 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Miro Heiskanen D | 29:56 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.21 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Esa Lindell D | 18:35 | +0.10 | +0.19 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Roope Hintz C | 20:12 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.15 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Johnston C | 16:47 | +0.04 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 12:28 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Colin Miller D | 17:25 | −0.10 | +0.15 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Kiviranta L | 10:11 | −0.15 | +0.18 | −0.32 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Robertson L | 21:24 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.12 | −0.29 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mason Marchment L | 17:04 | 2 | −0.21 | +0.25 | −0.50 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ty Dellandrea C | 13:08 | −0.26 | −0.04 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Ryan Suter D | 20:12 | −0.38 | −0.07 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger G | 64:29 | +0.12 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.