SEA beat LAK 9–8 in overtime. SEA lost the expected-goals battle 3.2 to 3.9 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Andre Burakovsky scored on the power play at 2:08 of overtime, moving SEA’s win probability from 50% to 100%. Martin Jones allowed 4.4 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SEA–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:16 | LAK | Anze Kopitar from Kevin Fiala, Drew Doughty | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 5:21 | SEA | Matty BeniersPP from Alexander Wennberg, Justin Schultz | 1–1 | 31% → 47% |
| P1 8:42 | SEA | Jared McCann from Jordan Eberle, Justin Schultz | 2–1 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 9:16 | LAK | Viktor ArvidssonPP from Sean Durzi | 2–2 | 37% → 53% |
| P1 12:55 | SEA | Alexander WennbergPP from Daniel Sprong, Justin Schultz | 3–2 | 48% → 64% |
| P1 18:52 | LAK | Gabriel VilardiPP from Kevin Fiala, Drew Doughty | 3–3 | 35% → 53% |
| P2 1:31 | SEA | Matty Beniers from Jordan Eberle | 4–3 | 47% → 66% |
| P2 2:48 | LAK | Carl Grundstrom from Blake Lizotte, Sean Walker | 4–4 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 4:56 | SEA | Jared McCann from Adam Larsson, Jordan Eberle | 5–4 | 47% → 67% |
| P2 6:45 | LAK | Adrian Kempe from Kevin Fiala | 5–5 | 33% → 53% |
| P2 7:27 | SEA | Daniel Sprong unassisted | 6–5 | 47% → 68% |
| P2 9:50 | SEA | Oliver Bjorkstrand unassisted | 7–5 | 68% → 84% |
| P2 15:41 | LAK | Gabriel Vilardi from Anze Kopitar, Mikey Anderson | 7–6 | 13% → 30% |
| P2 19:38 | SEA | Andre Burakovsky from Alexander Wennberg, Will Borgen | 8–6 | 72% → 89% |
| P3 11:36 | LAK | Sean Durzi from Matt Roy, Kevin Fiala | 8–7 | 3% → 18% |
| P3 13:39 | LAK | Mikey Anderson from Adrian Kempe, Drew Doughty | 8–8 | 15% → 51% |
| OT 2:08 | SEA | Andre BurakovskyPP from Jordan Eberle, Vince Dunn | 9–8 | 50% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared McCann L | 16:09 | 2 | +1.74 | +0.18 | +1.53 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andre Burakovsky L | 19:42 | 2 | +1.33 | +0.01 | +1.53 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Matty Beniers C | 15:56 | 2 | +1.22 | +0.19 | +1.09 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.07 | |
| Daniel Sprong R | 8:13 | 1 | 1 | +0.88 | +0.17 | +0.70 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 13:45 | 1 | +0.70 | −0.05 | +0.75 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Eberle R | 16:25 | 4 | +0.23 | +0.22 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Alexander Wennberg C | 21:13 | 1 | 2 | +0.21 | −0.10 | +0.40 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.08 |
| Justin Schultz D | 18:44 | 3 | +0.11 | +0.12 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Carson Soucy D | 15:23 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Borgen D | 16:36 | 1 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Karson Kuhlman C | 8:17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Tanev L | 14:39 | −0.04 | −0.22 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 9:41 | −0.06 | +0.08 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 20:38 | −0.09 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yanni Gourde C | 16:39 | −0.15 | −0.25 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Vince Dunn D | 24:36 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jaden Schwartz C | 20:13 | −0.21 | −0.15 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 24:20 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.19 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Jones G | 62:05 | −4.39 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 10:44 | 2 | +1.78 | +0.08 | +1.50 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Mikey Anderson D | 24:23 | 1 | 1 | +1.02 | +0.14 | +0.87 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Carl Grundstrom R | 10:52 | 1 | +0.85 | −0.02 | +0.88 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 19:41 | 1 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.22 | +0.46 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 |
| Adrian Kempe R | 19:53 | 1 | 1 | +0.55 | +0.20 | +0.35 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 19:52 | 1 | +0.46 | −0.09 | +0.56 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Durzi D | 18:38 | 1 | 1 | +0.42 | −0.09 | +0.92 | +0.01 | −0.04 | −0.38 | +0.00 |
| Drew Doughty D | 26:17 | 3 | +0.37 | +0.18 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Fiala L | 17:52 | 4 | +0.08 | +0.31 | −0.43 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Rasmus Kupari C | 10:20 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Jaret Anderson-Dolan C | 12:01 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Edler D | 16:01 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Walker D | 15:55 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Blake Lizotte C | 10:59 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.33 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.05 | |
| Trevor Moore L | 18:59 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 12:19 | −0.19 | +0.06 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 17:33 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.21 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Phillip Danault C | 20:12 | −0.44 | −0.16 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Petersen G | 37:12 | −2.66 |
| Jonathan Quick G | 24:55 | −3.43 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.