OTT beat LAK 3–2 in overtime. OTT also won the expected-goals battle 4.2 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Claude Giroux scored at 0:20 of overtime, moving OTT’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Jonathan Quick saved 1.3 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | OTT–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:55 | OTT | Brady Tkachuk from Thomas Chabot, Claude Giroux | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P2 10:23 | LAK | Arthur KaliyevPP from Viktor Arvidsson, Phillip Danault | 1–1 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 12:17 | OTT | Alex DeBrincatPP from Brady Tkachuk, Tim Stützle | 2–1 | 48% → 69% |
| P2 17:35 | LAK | Arthur KaliyevPP from Sean Durzi, Phillip Danault | 2–2 | 29% → 53% |
| OT 0:20 | OTT | Claude Giroux from Tim Stützle, Thomas Chabot | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
OTT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Giroux R | 17:24 | 1 | 1 | +0.84 | +0.12 | +0.71 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Thomas Chabot D | 28:11 | 2 | +0.60 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex DeBrincat R | 19:38 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.14 | +0.20 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Artem Zub D | 24:37 | +0.23 | +0.11 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Kastelic C | 7:39 | +0.08 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Austin Watson L | 9:11 | +0.04 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tim Stützle C | 22:43 | 2 | −0.01 | +0.37 | −0.32 | +0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Nick Holden D | 12:46 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Brannstrom D | 13:32 | −0.06 | +0.05 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brady Tkachuk L | 18:11 | 1 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.16 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Drake Batherson R | 18:45 | −0.09 | +0.16 | −0.26 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shane Pinto C | 14:24 | −0.11 | +0.03 | −0.17 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Parker Kelly C | 9:20 | −0.18 | +0.02 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Derick Brassard C | 13:56 | −0.18 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Mathieu Joseph R | 16:02 | −0.18 | −0.15 | −0.24 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Sanderson D | 19:31 | −0.27 | −0.18 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Hamonic D | 18:50 | −0.46 | −0.22 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Motte C | 14:56 | −0.86 | −0.05 | −0.59 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot G | 60:07 | +0.33 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 13:56 | 2 | +1.58 | −0.01 | +1.60 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Durzi D | 20:18 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.14 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 16:48 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.24 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Roy D | 19:03 | +0.05 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 9:58 | +0.04 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 19:09 | 2 | +0.04 | +0.18 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Alexander Edler D | 15:03 | −0.07 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Kupari C | 12:51 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 15:45 | −0.12 | +0.12 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 25:03 | −0.12 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 10:21 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Walker D | 14:34 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaret Anderson-Dolan C | 13:52 | −0.17 | +0.02 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 24:56 | −0.18 | −0.30 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Lias Andersson C | 8:37 | −0.19 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 19:32 | −0.35 | −0.28 | −0.14 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 18:57 | −0.58 | −0.28 | −0.29 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 18:56 | −1.01 | +0.01 | −0.83 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick G | 60:20 | +1.29 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.