DAL beat CHI 6–4. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 3.2 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Radek Faksa scored at 18:27 of the third, moving DAL’s win probability from 50% to 95%. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.3 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 13:55 |  DAL | Jason Robertson unassisted | 0–1 | 53% → 71% |
| P2 4:22 | CHI | Seth Jones from Patrick Kane, Jack Johnson | 1–1 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 13:53 | CHI | Andreas Athanasiou from Max Domi, Caleb Jones | 2–1 | 47% → 70% |
| P2 16:53 | CHI | Connor Murphy from Jonathan Toews, Jarred Tinordi | 3–1 | 71% → 88% |
| P3 9:37 | CHI | Max Domi from Colin Blackwell, Jake McCabe | 4–1 | 95% → 99% |
| P3 10:15 | DAL | Jamie BennPP from Roope Hintz, Joe Pavelski | 4–2 | 1% → 4% |
| P3 13:58 | DAL | Mason Marchment from Tyler Seguin, Denis Gurianov | 4–3 | 2% → 15% |
| P3 14:12 | DAL | Ty Dellandrea from Jani Hakanpää, Jamie Benn | 4–4 | 15% → 51% |
| P3 18:27 | DAL | Radek Faksa from Colin Miller, Ryan Suter | 4–5 | 50% → 95% |
| P3 19:51 | DAL | Jason RobertsonEN from Jani Hakanpää | 4–6 | 97% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Murphy D | 20:54 | 1 | +0.65 | −0.00 | +0.64 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Seth Jones D | 21:12 | 1 | +0.55 | −0.26 | +0.85 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 16:19 | 1 | +0.44 | −0.11 | +0.60 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jarred Tinordi D | 18:06 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Colin Blackwell C | 15:29 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jujhar Khaira L | 18:02 | −0.03 | +0.07 | −0.09 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Sam Lafferty C | 7:07 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jake McCabe D | 17:13 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Philipp Kurashev C | 20:00 | −0.08 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.03 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 19:25 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.13 | −0.18 | +0.08 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Caleb Jones D | 15:56 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.02 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Reese Johnson C | 9:10 | −0.15 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 10:40 | −0.15 | −0.04 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Max Domi C | 19:05 | 1 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.17 | +0.21 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.05 |
| Jonathan Toews C | 19:10 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.18 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Taylor Raddysh R | 16:04 | −0.21 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Johnson D | 19:15 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.13 | −0.19 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jason Dickinson C | 15:23 | −0.37 | +0.02 | −0.37 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Mrazek G | 59:05 | −1.21 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Benn L | 12:21 | 1 | 1 | +0.79 | +0.02 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 |
| Ty Dellandrea C | 14:41 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.03 | +0.78 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Radek Faksa C | 12:00 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.08 | +0.68 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Mason Marchment L | 13:26 | 1 | +0.57 | +0.04 | +0.49 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jason Robertson L | 21:08 | 2 | +0.44 | +0.13 | +0.28 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Suter D | 22:59 | 1 | +0.30 | +0.28 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Colin Miller D | 17:32 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.21 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joe Pavelski C | 20:17 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.17 | −0.15 | +0.02 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Miro Heiskanen D | 26:18 | +0.02 | +0.10 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Kiviranta L | 14:17 | −0.03 | +0.18 | −0.18 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Johnston C | 13:41 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nils Lundkvist D | 17:16 | −0.05 | +0.03 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Denis Gurianov R | 11:23 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Luke Glendening C | 12:38 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 18:10 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Roope Hintz C | 18:01 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.11 | −0.36 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Tyler Seguin C | 14:43 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.07 | −0.40 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Jani Hakanpää D | 15:09 | 2 | −0.30 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger G | 60:00 | −1.33 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.