VGK beat VAN 5–4. VGK also won the expected-goals battle 3.6 to 2.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Alex Pietrangelo scored at 14:14 of the third, moving VGK’s win probability from 49% to 85%. Logan Thompson allowed 2.0 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 11:48 |  VAN | Andrei Kuzmenko from Brock Boeser, Quinn Hughes | 0–1 | 53% → 74% |
| P2 14:52 | VGK | Mark Stone from Jack Eichel, Alec Martinez | 1–1 | 25% → 47% |
| P2 15:41 | VGK | William Carrier from Jack Eichel, Alex Pietrangelo | 2–1 | 47% → 70% |
| P3 1:47 | VAN | Bo Horvat from J.T. Miller, Riley Stillman | 2–2 | 26% → 52% |
| P3 5:35 | VAN | Luke Schenn from Quinn Hughes, Curtis Lazar | 2–3 | 53% → 80% |
| P3 6:11 | VAN | Elias Pettersson from Ilya Mikheyev, Andrei Kuzmenko | 2–4 | 80% → 94% |
| P3 6:54 | VGK | William Carrier from Alec Martinez, Alex Pietrangelo | 3–4 | 5% → 19% |
| P3 8:57 | VGK | Reilly Smith from Jonathan Marchessault | 4–4 | 18% → 48% |
| P3 14:14 | VGK | Alex Pietrangelo from Mark Stone, Chandler Stephenson | 5–4 | 49% → 85% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 23:35 | 1 | 2 | +1.15 | +0.37 | +0.73 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| William Carrier L | 13:10 | 2 | +1.10 | +0.23 | +0.88 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mark Stone R | 21:15 | 1 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.04 | +0.61 | +0.07 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Reilly Smith R | 16:28 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.11 | +0.60 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alec Martinez D | 22:17 | 2 | +0.29 | +0.42 | −0.18 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Keegan Kolesar R | 12:30 | +0.13 | +0.16 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 16:28 | +0.12 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Nicolas Hague D | 14:08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden McNabb D | 20:33 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Chandler Stephenson C | 21:58 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.04 | −0.13 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Zach Whitecloud D | 14:49 | −0.05 | +0.06 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Cotter C | 8:58 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phil Kessel R | 8:30 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shea Theodore D | 22:50 | −0.10 | +0.05 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 14:11 | −0.11 | +0.16 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Leschyshyn C | 8:22 | −0.32 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Jack Eichel C | 21:01 | 2 | −0.33 | +0.20 | −0.50 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.09 | |
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 16:57 | 1 | −0.40 | +0.20 | −0.59 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson G | 60:00 | −1.97 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Schenn D | 16:31 | 1 | +0.89 | −0.02 | +0.91 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Bo Horvat C | 23:47 | 1 | +0.70 | −0.07 | +0.72 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 18:02 | 1 | 1 | +0.46 | −0.02 | +0.46 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Elias Pettersson C | 20:12 | 1 | +0.46 | −0.07 | +0.53 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Riley Stillman D | 17:12 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Curtis Lazar C | 10:03 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Vasily Podkolzin R | 9:46 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 22:46 | −0.11 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Conor Garland R | 13:46 | −0.14 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dakota Joshua C | 9:52 | −0.14 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinn Hughes D | 25:14 | 2 | −0.15 | −0.11 | −0.05 | +0.05 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 17:31 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.10 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nils Aman C | 11:37 | −0.17 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Brock Boeser R | 18:04 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.14 | −0.08 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Sheldon Dries C | 9:01 | −0.24 | −0.19 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ethan Bear D | 16:09 | −0.25 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 18:49 | −0.28 | −0.21 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| J.T. Miller C | 21:42 | 1 | −0.55 | −0.16 | −0.20 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko G | 57:56 | −1.03 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.