NYR beat SJS 2–1. NYR also won the expected-goals battle 3.6 to 1.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Julien Gauthier scored at 13:57 of the third, moving NYR’s win probability from 49% to 85%. James Reimer saved 2.7 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYR–SJS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P3 13:57 | NYR | Julien Gauthier from Jacob Trouba, K'Andre Miller | 1–0 | 49% → 85% |
| P3 18:53 | NYR | Adam FoxEN from Mika Zibanejad, Jimmy Vesey | 2–0 | 94% → 100% |
| P3 19:43 | SJS | Logan CouturePP from Tomas Hertl, Timo Meier | 2–1 | 0% → 4% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Gauthier R | 8:45 | 1 | +0.91 | +0.01 | +0.72 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Fox D | 23:04 | 1 | +0.44 | +0.26 | −0.05 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Artemi Panarin L | 19:02 | +0.38 | +0.25 | −0.00 | +0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Lindgren D | 20:14 | +0.20 | +0.27 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 20:33 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.15 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 14:59 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jimmy Vesey L | 16:09 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.14 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Sammy Blais L | 9:56 | −0.07 | +0.03 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Barclay Goodrow C | 15:55 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Zac Jones D | 15:14 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Braden Schneider D | 14:14 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 13:54 | −0.14 | +0.10 | −0.42 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Vincent Trocheck C | 19:00 | −0.20 | +0.26 | −0.48 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| K'Andre Miller D | 21:58 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.05 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Chris Kreider L | 19:13 | −0.23 | +0.24 | −0.44 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Filip Chytil C | 15:22 | −0.28 | +0.02 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Mika Zibanejad C | 20:37 | 1 | −0.41 | +0.28 | −0.69 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Ryan Carpenter C | 10:13 | −0.47 | −0.04 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.05 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin G | 59:38 | +0.50 |
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Couture C | 20:04 | 1 | +0.72 | −0.03 | +0.72 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Nico Sturm C | 17:00 | +0.19 | +0.03 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Alexander Barabanov L | 15:19 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Kunin C | 16:36 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Cicek D | 15:07 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic D | 16:58 | −0.06 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Benning D | 17:08 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Nieto L | 16:48 | −0.15 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Lindblom L | 7:11 | −0.18 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaycob Megna D | 16:54 | −0.18 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evgeny Svechnikov L | 7:06 | −0.21 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mario Ferraro D | 24:07 | −0.21 | −0.09 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Labanc R | 17:35 | −0.26 | −0.12 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Hertl C | 17:47 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.19 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Steven Lorentz C | 8:49 | −0.36 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Erik Karlsson D | 25:12 | −0.42 | −0.27 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Bonino C | 15:12 | −0.45 | −0.01 | −0.32 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.07 | ||
| Timo Meier R | 20:31 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.09 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| James Reimer G | 58:36 | +2.73 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.