SEA beat NYR 3–2 in overtime. SEA also won the expected-goals battle 4.2 to 3.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Justin Schultz scored at 3:39 of overtime, moving SEA’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYR–SEA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:45 | SEA | Jared McCann from Will Borgen, Jordan Eberle | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 14:58 |  NYR | Mika ZibanejadPP from Chris Kreider, Vincent Trocheck | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P3 9:27 | SEA | Justin Schultz from Andre Burakovsky, Jaden Schwartz | 1–2 | 51% → 83% |
| P3 18:06 | NYR | Vincent TrocheckPP from Barclay Goodrow, Adam Fox | 2–2 | 7% → 50% |
| OT 3:39 | SEA | Justin Schultz from Jordan Eberle, Vince Dunn | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Zibanejad C | 22:53 | 1 | +0.60 | +0.22 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Vincent Trocheck C | 23:02 | 1 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.02 | +0.49 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Julien Gauthier R | 7:09 | +0.30 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.38 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Fox D | 25:49 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.21 | −0.28 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jimmy Vesey L | 15:38 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 21:36 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.09 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Kreider L | 21:35 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.28 | −0.42 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 12:36 | −0.14 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Carpenter C | 8:46 | −0.16 | −0.02 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Libor Hajek D | 13:02 | −0.19 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Braden Schneider D | 13:25 | −0.21 | −0.18 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artemi Panarin L | 22:00 | −0.21 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.08 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Lindgren D | 19:17 | −0.22 | −0.12 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Chytil C | 12:35 | −0.30 | −0.23 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 12:54 | −0.31 | −0.12 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Barclay Goodrow C | 17:47 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.17 | −0.29 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.03 | |
| K'Andre Miller D | 24:35 | −0.33 | −0.13 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sammy Blais L | 9:12 | −0.38 | −0.11 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin G | 62:45 | +0.46 |
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Schultz D | 19:56 | 2 | +1.84 | +0.27 | +1.57 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jared McCann L | 15:16 | 1 | +0.72 | +0.05 | +0.64 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Yanni Gourde C | 18:00 | +0.39 | +0.15 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.04 | ||
| Cale Fleury D | 10:19 | +0.22 | +0.21 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matty Beniers C | 17:09 | +0.18 | +0.18 | −0.19 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 8:35 | +0.15 | +0.15 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Borgen D | 12:41 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Eberle R | 15:28 | 2 | +0.01 | +0.12 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andre Burakovsky L | 18:01 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.04 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Daniel Sprong R | 11:07 | −0.06 | +0.10 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vince Dunn D | 27:11 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.16 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Carson Soucy D | 18:54 | −0.25 | +0.18 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.38 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 27:01 | −0.31 | −0.18 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 7:46 | −0.32 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 17:26 | −0.45 | +0.00 | −0.45 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 21:10 | −0.49 | −0.01 | −0.45 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 20:24 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.17 | −0.39 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Brandon Tanev L | 18:36 | −0.77 | −0.05 | −0.52 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Jones G | 63:39 | +0.98 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.