DAL beat PHI 5–1. DAL lost the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 3.5 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Matěj Blümel scored at 2:36 of the first, moving DAL’s win probability from 47% to 62%. Jake Oettinger saved 2.7 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:36 | DAL | Matěj Blümel from Tyler Seguin, Esa Lindell | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 18:24 | DAL | Esa Lindell from Jason Robertson, Joe Pavelski | 2–0 | 65% → 80% |
| P2 0:54 | PHI | Travis Konecny from Kevin Hayes, Owen Tippett | 2–1 | 20% → 34% |
| P2 9:06 | DAL | Joe PavelskiPP from Miro Heiskanen, Jamie Benn | 3–1 | 69% → 84% |
| P3 0:57 | DAL | Luke GlendeningSH from Ty Dellandrea, Esa Lindell | 4–1 | 89% → 98% |
| P3 10:59 | DAL | Jason RobertsonPP from Joe Pavelski, Roope Hintz | 5–1 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esa Lindell D | 20:08 | 1 | 2 | +1.05 | +0.09 | +0.92 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Matěj Blümel R | 10:36 | 1 | +0.81 | +0.02 | +0.80 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Luke Glendening C | 16:56 | 1 | +0.66 | −0.07 | +0.65 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Joe Pavelski C | 13:58 | 1 | 2 | +0.60 | +0.01 | +0.55 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| Jason Robertson L | 14:15 | 1 | 1 | +0.33 | +0.00 | +0.29 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Jani Hakanpää D | 19:53 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Seguin C | 16:49 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.03 | −0.08 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| Radek Faksa C | 11:07 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Ty Dellandrea C | 16:16 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Jamie Benn L | 13:39 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| Nils Lundkvist D | 19:39 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.27 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Johnston C | 13:45 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Miro Heiskanen D | 21:58 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Suter D | 22:17 | −0.23 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin Miller D | 14:56 | −0.28 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Marchment L | 14:02 | −0.31 | +0.05 | −0.38 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Roope Hintz C | 15:17 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.03 | −0.32 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Joel Kiviranta L | 12:29 | −0.52 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.38 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger G | 60:00 | +2.69 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Konecny R | 21:46 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.07 | +0.33 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.38 | +0.01 | |
| Ivan Provorov D | 19:53 | +0.14 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Braun D | 16:54 | +0.09 | +0.12 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Laczynski C | 9:03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 15:16 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 13:52 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Farabee L | 14:34 | −0.13 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Lukas Sedlak C | 10:36 | −0.14 | −0.04 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Tony DeAngelo D | 24:30 | −0.15 | −0.11 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 18:47 | −0.16 | +0.10 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Zack MacEwen C | 11:13 | −0.17 | +0.10 | −0.26 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 22:22 | −0.22 | +0.07 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.08 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 10:11 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kieffer Bellows L | 12:43 | −0.28 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 17:56 | −0.37 | +0.17 | −0.49 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Morgan Frost C | 12:53 | −0.39 | −0.05 | −0.28 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 20:51 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.02 | −0.40 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Hayes R | 21:15 | 1 | −0.60 | −0.02 | −0.54 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Sandstrom G | 60:00 | −1.97 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.