CHI beat ANA 3–2. CHI lost the expected-goals battle 2.0 to 3.3 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Jarred Tinordi scored at 17:18 of the third, moving CHI’s win probability from 49% to 91%. Arvid Soderblom saved 1.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–ANA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:19 | ANA | Troy Terry from Trevor Zegras | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 11:13 | ANA | Adam Henrique from Troy Terry, Simon Benoit | 0–2 | 70% → 84% |
| P1 13:55 | CHI | Jarred Tinordi from Max Domi, Patrick Kane | 1–2 | 16% → 29% |
| P2 4:04 | CHI | Filip Roos from Patrick Kane, Max Domi | 2–2 | 28% → 47% |
| P3 17:18 | CHI | Jarred Tinordi unassisted | 3–2 | 49% → 91% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred Tinordi D | 22:02 | 2 | +1.78 | +0.10 | +1.69 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Filip Roos D | 16:58 | 1 | +0.62 | +0.01 | +0.59 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Murphy D | 24:29 | +0.30 | +0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake McCabe D | 18:58 | +0.13 | +0.13 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Max Domi C | 18:37 | 2 | +0.13 | +0.16 | −0.10 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Jonathan Toews C | 16:43 | +0.10 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.10 | ||
| Sam Lafferty C | 13:38 | +0.09 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Boris Katchouk L | 10:46 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Reese Johnson C | 11:45 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Jujhar Khaira L | 13:51 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jack Johnson D | 18:20 | −0.13 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Caleb Jones D | 16:55 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 19:51 | −0.18 | +0.15 | −0.31 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 11:29 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Colin Blackwell C | 13:04 | −0.22 | +0.03 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 19:19 | 2 | −0.23 | +0.19 | −0.46 | +0.07 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 14:32 | −0.36 | −0.20 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Raddysh R | 14:43 | −0.38 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom G | 60:00 | +1.54 |
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Terry R | 18:53 | 1 | 1 | +0.58 | +0.01 | +0.57 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Adam Henrique C | 19:59 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.10 | +0.30 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Colton White D | 12:53 | +0.13 | +0.16 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Frank Vatrano R | 18:51 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.34 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.38 | −0.01 | ||
| Simon Benoit D | 19:07 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dmitry Kulikov D | 21:59 | −0.05 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Austin Strand D | 11:37 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Klingberg D | 23:07 | −0.09 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 14:05 | −0.09 | +0.03 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Mason McTavish C | 9:59 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 23:06 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.11 | −0.04 | +0.08 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Brett Leason R | 7:35 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Glenn Gawdin C | 8:35 | −0.15 | −0.04 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 15:35 | −0.22 | −0.06 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Maxime Comtois L | 14:12 | −0.23 | −0.03 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 27:27 | −0.28 | +0.01 | −0.27 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 16:44 | −0.45 | +0.02 | −0.28 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.04 | ||
| Pavol Regenda L | 15:58 | −0.91 | +0.05 | −0.56 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.38 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz G | 58:18 | −1.07 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.