NYI beat CBJ 4–3 in overtime. NYI also won the expected-goals battle 4.8 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Zach Parise scored at 0:39 of overtime, moving NYI’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CBJ–NYI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 3:09 | CBJ | Cole SillingerPP from Egor Chinakhov, Jake Bean | 1–0 | 48% → 66% |
| P2 7:27 | NYI | Brock Nelson from Scott Mayfield, Sebastian Aho | 1–1 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 10:15 | CBJ | Emil Bemstrom from Gustav Nyquist, Jake Bean | 2–1 | 47% → 68% |
| P2 19:15 | NYI | Brock Nelson from Anders Lee, Sebastian Aho | 2–2 | 28% → 52% |
| P3 9:38 | CBJ | Marcus Bjork from Emil Bemstrom, Gustav Nyquist | 3–2 | 50% → 80% |
| P3 12:51 | NYI | Scott Mayfield from Mathew Barzal, Oliver Wahlstrom | 3–3 | 17% → 51% |
| OT 0:39 | NYI | Zach Parise from Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Adam Pelech | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bjork D | 15:01 | 1 | +0.60 | −0.27 | +0.87 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Emil Bemstrom C | 11:25 | 1 | 1 | +0.57 | −0.18 | +0.56 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 |
| Cole Sillinger C | 13:54 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.03 | +0.36 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Egor Chinakhov R | 13:04 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.07 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jake Christiansen D | 18:07 | −0.03 | +0.13 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Eric Robinson L | 13:08 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 22:50 | −0.23 | −0.23 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Gaunce C | 10:44 | −0.25 | −0.18 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Gustav Nyquist R | 15:02 | 2 | −0.25 | −0.25 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Peeke D | 20:33 | −0.27 | −0.26 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Johnny Gaudreau L | 21:27 | −0.31 | −0.24 | −0.14 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gavin Bayreuther D | 18:50 | −0.32 | −0.31 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrik Laine L | 22:29 | −0.35 | −0.26 | −0.29 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathieu Olivier R | 10:45 | −0.37 | −0.14 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Bean D | 21:10 | 2 | −0.42 | −0.04 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Liam Foudy C | 12:41 | −0.47 | −0.22 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Boone Jenner C | 22:31 | −0.60 | −0.21 | −0.32 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Jack Roslovic C | 14:16 | −0.68 | −0.52 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 60:39 | +0.92 |
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mayfield D | 20:03 | 1 | 1 | +1.15 | +0.39 | +0.75 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Brock Nelson C | 17:46 | 2 | +1.09 | +0.43 | +0.44 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.05 | |
| Zach Parise L | 13:20 | 1 | +0.69 | +0.09 | +0.60 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Noah Dobson D | 21:32 | +0.24 | +0.49 | −0.27 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Romanov D | 19:29 | +0.23 | +0.43 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Martin L | 12:03 | +0.12 | +0.15 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 17:56 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.48 | −0.33 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mathew Barzal C | 16:38 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.21 | −0.16 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 14:25 | +0.05 | +0.25 | −0.22 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 20:52 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.26 | −0.21 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Sebastian Aho D | 15:12 | 2 | −0.03 | +0.23 | −0.24 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle Palmieri C | 13:59 | −0.08 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Wahlstrom R | 9:48 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.04 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Ryan Pulock D | 19:57 | −0.17 | −0.22 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cal Clutterbuck R | 15:50 | −0.18 | +0.34 | −0.53 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Cizikas C | 14:07 | −0.24 | +0.19 | −0.44 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 20:38 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.03 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Josh Bailey R | 14:29 | −0.39 | −0.11 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin G | 60:39 | −0.19 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.