LAK beat FLA 5–4. LAK also won the expected-goals battle 4.4 to 3.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Gabriel Vilardi scored at 16:42 of the third, moving LAK’s win probability from 51% to 91%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | FLA–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 11:00 | FLA | Ryan Lomberg from Rudolfs Balcers | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P2 9:27 | LAK | Rasmus Kupari from Kevin Fiala, Carl Grundstrom | 1–1 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 9:45 | FLA | Carter Verhaeghe from Gustav Forsling, Aleksander Barkov | 2–1 | 47% → 68% |
| P2 10:19 | LAK | Trevor Moore from Viktor Arvidsson, Phillip Danault | 2–2 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 19:34 | LAK | Viktor ArvidssonPP from Anze Kopitar, Trevor Moore | 2–3 | 53% → 77% |
| P3 1:18 | FLA | Eetu Luostarinen from Sam Reinhart, Nick Cousins | 3–3 | 22% → 48% |
| P3 2:40 | LAK | Blake Lizotte from Matt Roy, Arthur Kaliyev | 3–4 | 52% → 78% |
| P3 5:04 | FLA | Carter Verhaeghe from Matthew Tkachuk | 4–4 | 20% → 48% |
| P3 16:42 | LAK | Gabriel Vilardi from Alexander Edler, Anze Kopitar | 4–5 | 51% → 91% |
Every player
Show both lineups
FLA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Verhaeghe C | 19:35 | 2 | +1.76 | +0.53 | +1.24 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Lomberg L | 7:58 | 1 | +0.48 | −0.39 | +0.88 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marc Staal D | 16:19 | +0.12 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Eetu Luostarinen C | 16:07 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.07 | +0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Matthew Tkachuk L | 21:49 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.51 | −0.33 | +0.08 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Anton Lundell C | 19:42 | +0.03 | +0.36 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.03 | ||
| Sam Reinhart C | 17:39 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.36 | −0.34 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Colin White C | 10:45 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Aleksander Barkov C | 24:10 | 1 | +0.00 | +0.27 | −0.34 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Matt Kiersted D | 10:09 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rudolfs Balcers L | 2:57 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Montour D | 27:13 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Cousins C | 11:59 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joshua Mahura D | 14:25 | −0.21 | +0.05 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gustav Forsling D | 26:24 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.23 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Radko Gudas D | 21:41 | −0.47 | −0.05 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.38 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Bennett C | 14:55 | −0.49 | −0.03 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.07 | ||
| Eric Staal C | 8:10 | −0.50 | −0.46 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky G | 58:07 | −0.40 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 17:38 | 1 | +0.99 | +0.14 | +0.65 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Moore L | 20:09 | 1 | 1 | +0.58 | −0.19 | +0.77 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Blake Lizotte C | 9:39 | 1 | +0.38 | +0.13 | +0.29 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 18:52 | 1 | 1 | +0.30 | +0.00 | +0.36 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Alexander Edler D | 15:19 | 1 | +0.21 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Rasmus Kupari C | 10:01 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.05 | +0.51 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.38 | +0.02 | |
| Brendan Lemieux L | 7:51 | +0.14 | +0.15 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 10:58 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.35 | −0.23 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Fiala L | 16:20 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.22 | −0.35 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Walker D | 15:37 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 14:32 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Drew Doughty D | 26:43 | −0.05 | +0.14 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 20:25 | −0.12 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 18:41 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.23 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Carl Grundstrom R | 12:58 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.05 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Durzi D | 19:38 | −0.34 | +0.03 | −0.33 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 19:12 | −0.38 | −0.06 | −0.31 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 21:27 | 2 | −0.48 | −0.14 | −0.49 | +0.04 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.08 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick G | 60:00 | −0.20 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.