VGK beat WSH 3–2 in overtime. VGK also won the expected-goals battle 2.2 to 1.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Shea Theodore scored at 1:35 of overtime, moving VGK’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–WSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:39 |  WSH | Marcus JohanssonPP from Dylan Strome, Alex Ovechkin | 0–1 | 54% → 69% |
| P1 18:55 | VGK | Jack EichelPP from Chandler Stephenson, Alex Pietrangelo | 1–1 | 29% → 47% |
| P2 1:01 | WSH | Trevor van Riemsdyk from Dylan Strome | 1–2 | 53% → 72% |
| P3 14:04 | VGK | William Carrier from William Karlsson, Alex Pietrangelo | 2–2 | 13% → 49% |
| OT 1:35 | VGK | Shea Theodore from Jack Eichel, Alex Pietrangelo | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Eichel C | 21:15 | 1 | 1 | +1.07 | +0.17 | +0.72 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.07 |
| Shea Theodore D | 23:10 | 1 | +0.87 | +0.26 | +0.60 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| William Carrier L | 10:36 | 1 | +0.78 | −0.03 | +0.82 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| William Karlsson C | 18:05 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.08 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.05 | |
| Brayden McNabb D | 20:17 | +0.03 | +0.10 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Hague D | 15:19 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Keegan Kolesar R | 10:45 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chandler Stephenson C | 19:56 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.06 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | |
| Phil Kessel R | 10:22 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 21:53 | −0.11 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 18:29 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.35 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Roy C | 12:19 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Stone R | 20:31 | −0.14 | +0.05 | −0.25 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Michael Amadio R | 7:59 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Whitecloud D | 16:59 | −0.25 | −0.07 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 10:50 | −0.26 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.03 | ||
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 22:53 | 3 | −0.35 | −0.03 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 18:38 | −0.40 | +0.14 | −0.33 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson G | 61:26 | −0.28 |
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 20:18 | 1 | +0.69 | +0.04 | +0.80 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Marcus Johansson L | 20:01 | 1 | +0.69 | +0.02 | +0.67 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Aliaksei Protas L | 10:43 | +0.18 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 14:43 | +0.12 | +0.07 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nic Dowd C | 14:17 | +0.08 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Joe Snively C | 12:43 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lars Eller C | 16:57 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Beck Malenstyn L | 3:42 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Irwin D | 13:56 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Mantha R | 15:20 | −0.10 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evgeny Kuznetsov C | 17:35 | −0.12 | −0.13 | −0.05 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Dmitry Orlov D | 24:50 | −0.12 | +0.07 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Jensen D | 21:09 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Conor Sheary L | 17:45 | −0.17 | +0.02 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Fehérváry D | 22:14 | −0.19 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 19:44 | 2 | −0.22 | −0.11 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Erik Gustafsson D | 18:21 | −0.30 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Ovechkin L | 15:54 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.20 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren G | 61:35 | −0.23 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.