CBJ beat NSH 5–3. CBJ also won the expected-goals battle 4.1 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Nick Blankenburg scored at 18:37 of the third, moving CBJ’s win probability from 50% to 95%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NSH–CBJ | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:16 |  NSH | Tanner Jeannot from Colton Sissons, Yakov Trenin | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 10:45 | NSH | Ryan Johansen from Mattias Ekholm, Nino Niederreiter | 2–0 | 64% → 77% |
| P2 16:09 | CBJ | Jake Bean from Kent Johnson, Egor Chinakhov | 2–1 | 13% → 29% |
| P2 17:38 | NSH | Yakov Trenin from Tanner Jeannot, Colton Sissons | 3–1 | 71% → 88% |
| P3 0:38 | CBJ | Johnny Gaudreau from Nick Blankenburg | 3–2 | 10% → 27% |
| P3 12:07 | CBJ | Justin Danforth from Egor Chinakhov, Andrew Peeke | 3–3 | 18% → 51% |
| P3 18:37 | CBJ | Nick Blankenburg from Jakub Voracek, Jack Roslovic | 3–4 | 50% → 95% |
| P3 19:14 | CBJ | Johnny GaudreauEN from Gustav Nyquist | 3–5 | 96% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yakov Trenin C | 12:19 | 1 | 1 | +1.01 | −0.11 | +0.91 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 |
| Ryan Johansen C | 16:59 | 1 | +0.63 | −0.16 | +0.77 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Cody Glass C | 12:02 | +0.17 | +0.20 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 13:03 | 1 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.26 | +0.59 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Alexandre Carrier D | 15:23 | +0.07 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Smith L | 11:56 | +0.03 | +0.25 | −0.20 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Forsberg L | 20:03 | −0.02 | −0.31 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.38 | +0.00 | ||
| Mattias Ekholm D | 19:35 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nino Niederreiter R | 15:45 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Ryan McDonagh D | 19:29 | −0.19 | −0.11 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 10:22 | −0.20 | +0.23 | −0.44 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Dante Fabbro D | 17:01 | −0.22 | −0.18 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikael Granlund C | 23:00 | −0.29 | −0.34 | −0.15 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | −0.03 | ||
| Mark Borowiecki D | 12:51 | −0.31 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 14:00 | −0.32 | −0.19 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Sissons C | 14:37 | 2 | −0.48 | −0.26 | −0.20 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Roman Josi D | 26:51 | −0.51 | −0.26 | −0.27 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Duchene C | 20:45 | −0.88 | −0.36 | −0.37 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen G | 57:59 | −0.15 |
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Blankenburg D | 15:36 | 1 | 1 | +1.15 | +0.38 | +0.77 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Johnny Gaudreau L | 19:55 | 2 | +0.82 | +0.38 | +0.33 | +0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Danforth R | 12:37 | 1 | +0.79 | +0.14 | +0.48 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Jake Bean D | 13:53 | 1 | +0.53 | −0.01 | +0.73 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Gustav Nyquist R | 21:11 | 1 | +0.39 | +0.40 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 22:09 | +0.20 | +0.22 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Werenski D | 22:42 | +0.10 | +0.27 | −0.20 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Sillinger C | 9:47 | +0.02 | +0.10 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jakub Voracek R | 14:54 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.10 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mathieu Olivier R | 9:56 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Roslovic C | 15:01 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.37 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.38 | −0.04 | |
| Sean Kuraly C | 14:10 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Egor Chinakhov R | 11:01 | 2 | −0.17 | +0.12 | −0.28 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Peeke D | 22:03 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.22 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.38 | +0.00 | |
| Eric Robinson L | 13:08 | −0.25 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Kent Johnson C | 10:54 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.12 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Boone Jenner C | 21:16 | −0.51 | +0.38 | −0.90 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Erik Gudbranson D | 19:47 | −0.55 | −0.33 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins G | 60:00 | −0.21 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.