BOS beat ANA 2–1 in a shootout. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 2.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Frank Vatrano scored at 6:03 of the second, moving ANA’s win probability from 27% to 47%. Linus Ullmark saved 5.2 goals above expected.
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 2:31 | Taylor Hall from Hampus Lindholm, Matt Grzelcyk | 0–1 | 53% → 72% | |
| P2 6:03 | Frank Vatrano from Mason McTavish, Ryan Strome | 1–1 | 27% → 47% |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Vatrano R | 19:19 | 1 | +0.07 | −0.11 | +0.25 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Pavol Regenda L | 7:53 | +0.06 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 19:28 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.11 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Max Jones L | 7:38 | +0.00 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| John Klingberg D | 24:52 | +0.00 | +0.22 | −0.03 | −0.17 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 21:37 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.03 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Nathan Beaulieu D | 13:11 | −0.13 | +0.07 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason McTavish C | 16:44 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.08 | −0.23 | +0.17 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Adam Henrique C | 13:20 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Dmitry Kulikov D | 18:47 | −0.23 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Drysdale D | 21:05 | −0.25 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 26:39 | −0.32 | −0.22 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 17:23 | −0.32 | −0.16 | −0.09 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Derek Grant C | 13:42 | −0.40 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.06 | −0.00 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 19:55 | −0.52 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.33 | ||
| Maxime Comtois L | 11:51 | −0.60 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.51 | ||
| Troy Terry R | 18:43 | −0.68 | +0.11 | −0.10 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.39 | ||
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 16:53 | −0.91 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.51 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| John Gibson G | 64:50 | +4.32 |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Hall L | 18:00 | 1 | +1.45 | −0.16 | +0.29 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.38 | +0.01 | +0.99 | |
| Nick Foligno L | 12:57 | +0.12 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 25:01 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.24 | +0.00 | +0.06 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| David Krejci C | 20:41 | +0.02 | +0.33 | −0.18 | −0.17 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Connor Clifton D | 24:08 | −0.03 | +0.08 | −0.06 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakub Zboril D | 15:50 | −0.04 | +0.12 | −0.05 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Reilly D | 13:57 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| A.J. Greer L | 9:48 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Trent Frederic C | 7:13 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Tomas Nosek L | 13:16 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 20:02 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Derek Forbort D | 20:54 | −0.16 | +0.11 | +0.00 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrice Bergeron C | 21:36 | −0.20 | +0.07 | −0.17 | −0.24 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.10 | −0.00 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 18:45 | −0.23 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 21:36 | −0.35 | +0.31 | −0.39 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.39 | ||
| Jack Studnicka C | 8:01 | −0.46 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.38 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Charlie Coyle C | 16:33 | −0.53 | +0.03 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.51 | ||
| Jake DeBrusk L | 21:13 | −0.61 | +0.25 | −0.40 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.33 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark G | 64:43 | +5.24 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.