NYI beat SJS 5–2. NYI also won the expected-goals battle 3.7 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Oliver Wahlstrom scored at 19:04 of the second, moving NYI’s win probability from 52% to 77%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SJS–NYI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 12:50 | SJS | Nico Sturm from Evgeny Svechnikov, Jaycob Megna | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P2 10:03 | NYI | Anders Lee from Adam Pelech, Brock Nelson | 1–1 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 14:48 | NYI | Zach Parise from Noah Dobson, Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 1–2 | 53% → 75% |
| P2 17:10 | SJS | Evgeny Svechnikov from Matt Benning | 2–2 | 24% → 47% |
| P2 19:04 | NYI | Oliver Wahlstrom from Brock Nelson | 2–3 | 52% → 77% |
| P3 5:24 | NYI | Oliver Wahlstrom from Noah Dobson | 2–4 | 80% → 94% |
| P3 17:34 | NYI | Cal ClutterbuckEN from Matt Martin, Adam Pelech | 2–5 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Sturm C | 13:33 | 1 | +0.79 | +0.12 | +0.76 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.10 | |
| Evgeny Svechnikov L | 12:52 | 1 | 1 | +0.51 | +0.08 | +0.42 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Radim Simek D | 14:50 | +0.27 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.38 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Karlsson D | 22:08 | +0.03 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaycob Megna D | 19:02 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic D | 19:01 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Labanc R | 10:09 | −0.14 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Barabanov L | 16:27 | −0.15 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Benning D | 16:41 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Steven Lorentz C | 13:06 | −0.18 | −0.06 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonah Gadjovich L | 12:57 | −0.23 | +0.10 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Mario Ferraro D | 23:25 | −0.23 | −0.24 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Timo Meier R | 17:18 | −0.30 | −0.06 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Bonino C | 16:01 | −0.35 | −0.16 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Tomas Hertl C | 15:41 | −0.36 | −0.08 | −0.25 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Luke Kunin C | 19:33 | −0.42 | −0.04 | −0.55 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Nieto L | 13:03 | −0.43 | −0.25 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Logan Couture C | 18:39 | −0.57 | −0.04 | −0.30 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.05 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| James Reimer G | 59:34 | +0.34 |
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Wahlstrom R | 14:15 | 2 | +1.32 | +0.09 | +1.21 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Zach Parise L | 15:35 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.07 | +0.54 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 16:00 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.17 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Robin Salo D | 14:24 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Dobson D | 20:39 | 2 | +0.01 | +0.15 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Scott Mayfield D | 17:35 | +0.01 | +0.04 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Palmieri C | 16:43 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.04 | ||
| Matt Martin L | 12:22 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.11 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cal Clutterbuck R | 13:08 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.09 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Casey Cizikas C | 14:27 | −0.02 | +0.09 | −0.31 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.03 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 15:49 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.05 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Ryan Pulock D | 21:10 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.11 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Romanov D | 21:59 | −0.06 | +0.13 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathew Barzal C | 16:29 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.14 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Josh Bailey R | 12:40 | −0.15 | +0.09 | −0.23 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 20:03 | 2 | −0.16 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 15:06 | −0.35 | −0.17 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Nelson C | 15:43 | 2 | −0.49 | −0.03 | −0.25 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Semyon Varlamov G | 59:53 | +0.98 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.