LAK beat DET 5–4 in overtime. LAK also won the expected-goals battle 3.6 to 3.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Phillip Danault scored at 1:12 of overtime, moving LAK’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Ville Husso allowed 1.1 goals more than expected.
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–DET | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:26 | Adam Erne from Pius Suter, Olli Maatta | 0–1 | 53% → 69% | |
| P1 4:45 | Gabriel Vilardi from Alex Iafallo, Drew Doughty | 1–1 | 31% → 47% | |
| P1 14:40 | Adrian Kempe from Kevin Fiala, Anze Kopitar | 2–1 | 47% → 64% | |
| P2 9:15 | David Perron from Dominik Kubalik, Olli Maatta | 2–2 | 32% → 53% | |
| P2 16:18 | Phillip Danault from Trevor Moore, Sean Durzi | 3–2 | 48% → 71% | |
| P3 11:14 | David PerronPP from Filip Hronek, Oskar Sundqvist | 3–3 | 20% → 52% | |
| P3 13:16 | Anze Kopitar from Adrian Kempe, Kevin Fiala | 4–3 | 49% → 84% | |
| P3 19:19 | Oskar SundqvistPP from David Perron, Dominik Kubalik | 4–4 | 5% → 51% | |
| OT 1:12 | Phillip Danault from Trevor Moore | 5–4 | 48% → 100% |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Danault C | 22:31 | 2 | +1.22 | −0.07 | +1.31 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 18:51 | 1 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.02 | +0.58 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.11 |
| Adrian Kempe R | 18:05 | 1 | 1 | +0.63 | +0.00 | +0.62 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Quinton Byfield R | 12:51 | +0.40 | +0.15 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.05 | ||
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 16:34 | 1 | +0.40 | +0.15 | +0.25 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Walker D | 11:41 | +0.18 | +0.23 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 22:35 | +0.15 | +0.16 | −0.22 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 28:30 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.21 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Blake Lizotte C | 8:23 | +0.05 | +0.14 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 14:41 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Fiala L | 15:59 | 2 | −0.07 | +0.15 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandt Clarke D | 10:45 | −0.07 | +0.12 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 18:56 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 17:52 | −0.16 | −0.07 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 7:13 | −0.16 | +0.06 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Lemieux L | 8:24 | −0.21 | +0.11 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Durzi D | 22:09 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.21 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Moore L | 21:49 | 2 | −0.47 | +0.00 | −0.46 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick G | 59:43 | −1.00 |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Perron L | 16:22 | 2 | 1 | +0.96 | +0.11 | +1.03 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Oskar Sundqvist C | 16:48 | 1 | 1 | +0.90 | +0.12 | +0.78 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Adam Erne L | 11:57 | 1 | +0.57 | −0.19 | +0.75 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Olli Maatta D | 16:17 | 2 | +0.07 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Moritz Seider D | 21:29 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Robert Hagg D | 17:07 | +0.00 | −0.21 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 22:46 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.05 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pius Suter C | 10:03 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Ben Chiarot D | 19:46 | −0.10 | −0.23 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Dominik Kubalik L | 19:04 | 2 | −0.14 | +0.13 | −0.24 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Dylan Larkin C | 23:19 | −0.14 | +0.25 | −0.58 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Rasmussen C | 10:31 | −0.14 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 8:48 | −0.21 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Filip Zadina R | 14:25 | −0.24 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gustav Lindstrom D | 15:28 | −0.25 | −0.19 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Copp C | 19:08 | −0.42 | −0.34 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.11 | ||
| Elmer Soderblom L | 11:13 | −0.46 | −0.16 | −0.30 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lucas Raymond L | 22:09 | −0.65 | −0.10 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.38 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ville Husso G | 60:08 | −1.09 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.