MIN beat NSH 5–4 in overtime. MIN also won the expected-goals battle 5.4 to 3.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Dmitry Kulikov scored at 4:58 of overtime, moving MIN’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | MIN–NSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 11:05 | MIN | Nick BjugstadPP unassisted | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 19:57 | NSH | Filip Forsberg from Dante Fabbro, Mikael Granlund | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 6:36 | MIN | Joel Eriksson Ek from Connor Dewar, Joseph Cramarossa | 2–1 | 47% → 73% |
| P2 10:40 | NSH | Matt DuchenePP from Mikael Granlund, Filip Forsberg | 2–2 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 13:38 | NSH | Ryan JohansenPP from Filip Forsberg, Mikael Granlund | 2–3 | 54% → 75% |
| P2 18:27 | MIN | Joel Eriksson EkPP from Kevin Fiala, Kirill Kaprizov | 3–3 | 24% → 47% |
| P2 19:37 | MIN | Kevin Fiala from Matt Boldy | 4–3 | 48% → 72% |
| P3 14:20 | NSH | Dante Fabbro from Matt Duchene, Roman Josi | 4–4 | 14% → 51% |
| OT 4:58 | MIN | Dmitry Kulikov from Joel Eriksson Ek, Kirill Kaprizov | 5–4 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Eriksson Ek C | 20:48 | 2 | 1 | +1.27 | +0.27 | +1.01 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Dmitry Kulikov D | 24:04 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.20 | +0.60 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Bjugstad C | 14:43 | 1 | +0.51 | +0.04 | +0.47 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 18:34 | +0.26 | +0.05 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.08 | ||
| Jake Middleton D | 21:06 | +0.19 | +0.06 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 24:18 | 1 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.08 | +0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Alex Goligoski D | 23:03 | +0.18 | +0.16 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Jost C | 12:55 | +0.04 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ryan Hartman R | 20:27 | +0.03 | +0.17 | −0.39 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.06 | ||
| Jon Merrill D | 18:52 | +0.01 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared Spurgeon D | 5:32 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Brodin D | 25:34 | −0.15 | +0.09 | −0.26 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kirill Kaprizov L | 22:36 | 2 | −0.17 | +0.31 | −0.68 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Joseph Cramarossa C | 6:55 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.06 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Dewar C | 10:22 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.07 | −0.29 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Duhaime R | 11:09 | −0.40 | +0.03 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 10:50 | −0.41 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Boldy L | 15:51 | 1 | −0.56 | +0.28 | −0.86 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury G | 64:43 | −0.78 |
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Johansen C | 18:00 | 1 | +1.01 | +0.40 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Filip Forsberg L | 21:01 | 1 | 2 | +0.82 | +0.12 | +0.65 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Dante Fabbro D | 19:10 | 1 | 1 | +0.72 | −0.08 | +0.80 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Matt Duchene C | 21:43 | 1 | 1 | +0.46 | +0.46 | −0.19 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 |
| Matt Benning D | 14:11 | +0.14 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Roman Josi D | 28:28 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.18 | −0.19 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 9:09 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Philip Tomasino C | 11:07 | −0.13 | −0.05 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yakov Trenin C | 13:34 | −0.24 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Kunin C | 9:48 | −0.27 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Borowiecki D | 14:21 | −0.27 | −0.31 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Cousins C | 10:58 | −0.29 | −0.28 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael McCarron C | 10:41 | −0.29 | −0.30 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Colton Sissons C | 16:42 | −0.46 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Alexandre Carrier D | 22:48 | −0.46 | −0.20 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mattias Ekholm D | 21:25 | −0.47 | −0.28 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 17:59 | −0.52 | −0.22 | −0.30 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikael Granlund C | 22:10 | 3 | −0.61 | +0.07 | −0.58 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.14 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| David Rittich G | 64:58 | +0.45 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.