PHI beat MTL 6–3. PHI lost the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 3.6 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Oskar Lindblom scored at 6:49 of the second, moving PHI’s win probability from 47% to 67%. Carey Price allowed 2.9 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–MTL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:43 | PHI | James van Riemsdyk from Bobby Brink | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 14:29 | PHI | Ivan Provorov from James van Riemsdyk, Bobby Brink | 2–0 | 64% → 78% |
| P1 15:31 | MTL | Mike Hoffman from Brendan Gallagher, Christian Dvorak | 2–1 | 21% → 35% |
| P2 5:28 | MTL | Jake Evans from Jeff Petry, Rem Pitlick | 2–2 | 33% → 53% |
| P2 6:49 | PHI | Oskar Lindblom from Zack MacEwen, Linus Hogberg | 3–2 | 47% → 67% |
| P2 13:02 | PHI | Travis Konecny from Ronnie Attard, Ivan Provorov | 4–2 | 69% → 86% |
| P3 15:36 | PHI | Morgan Frost from Noah Cates | 5–2 | 99% → 100% |
| P3 16:56 | PHI | James van Riemsdyk unassisted | 6–2 | 100% → 100% |
| P3 17:33 | MTL | Cole Caufield from Chris Wideman, Nick Suzuki | 6–3 | 0% → 0% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James van Riemsdyk L | 14:41 | 2 | 1 | +0.85 | +0.15 | +0.46 | +0.23 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Morgan Frost C | 15:08 | 1 | +0.46 | −0.03 | +0.38 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Ronnie Attard D | 16:52 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.32 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ivan Provorov D | 25:57 | 1 | 1 | +0.36 | −0.10 | +0.40 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Oskar Lindblom L | 12:28 | 1 | +0.35 | +0.02 | +0.35 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Bobby Brink R | 14:00 | 2 | +0.29 | +0.09 | −0.03 | +0.23 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Konecny R | 18:00 | 1 | +0.24 | −0.02 | +0.13 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Zack MacEwen C | 12:04 | 1 | +0.16 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.30 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Noah Cates L | 11:48 | 1 | +0.11 | −0.04 | −0.08 | +0.22 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Owen Tippett R | 14:54 | +0.08 | +0.02 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nate Thompson C | 13:40 | +0.04 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Egor Zamula D | 17:32 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Linus Hogberg D | 17:25 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Farabee L | 16:57 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.05 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Keith Yandle D | 7:01 | −0.11 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 29:57 | −0.28 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 18:20 | −0.29 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kevin Hayes R | 19:16 | −0.47 | −0.16 | −0.14 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.08 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Jones G | 60:00 | +0.47 |
MTL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Hoffman C | 13:48 | 1 | +0.35 | +0.02 | +0.36 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jake Evans C | 14:20 | 1 | +0.32 | −0.01 | +0.40 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Cole Caufield R | 17:54 | 1 | +0.29 | +0.09 | +0.34 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brendan Gallagher R | 13:45 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.17 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Christian Dvorak C | 16:59 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.04 | −0.08 | +0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Joel Edmundson D | 21:09 | +0.12 | +0.16 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Wideman D | 16:02 | 1 | +0.11 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Josh Anderson R | 17:44 | +0.08 | +0.02 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Petry D | 21:21 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.25 | −0.17 | +0.14 | −0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Suzuki C | 21:30 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.08 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Tyler Pitlick C | 11:37 | −0.08 | +0.10 | −0.08 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Romanov D | 21:41 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rem Pitlick C | 14:44 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.10 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.04 | −0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Mathieu Perreault C | 9:17 | −0.13 | +0.10 | −0.16 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rafael Harvey-Pinard L | 11:33 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.17 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kale Clague D | 17:56 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| David Savard D | 20:05 | −0.23 | +0.01 | −0.24 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Poehling C | 10:40 | −0.24 | +0.07 | −0.23 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carey Price G | 59:55 | −2.94 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.