CHI beat ARI 4–3 in overtime. CHI also won the expected-goals battle 4.5 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Alex DeBrincat scored at 4:23 of overtime, moving CHI’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–ARI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:42 | CHI | Jake McCabe from Jonathan Toews, Dominik Kubalik | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 15:32 | CHI | Dominik Kubalik from Tyler Johnson, Jonathan Toews | 2–0 | 65% → 79% |
| P2 12:43 | ARI | Barrett Hayton from Nick Schmaltz, Andrew Ladd | 2–1 | 14% → 31% |
| P2 16:25 | CHI | Alex Vlasic from Alex DeBrincat, Patrick Kane | 3–1 | 71% → 87% |
| P3 9:42 | ARI | Nate Smith from Phil Kessel, Alex Galchenyuk | 3–2 | 5% → 20% |
| P3 13:43 | ARI | Anton Stralman from Phil Kessel, Nick Schmaltz | 3–3 | 15% → 51% |
| OT 4:23 | CHI | Alex DeBrincat from Patrick Kane, Seth Jones | 4–3 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Vlasic D | 14:04 | 1 | +1.00 | +0.17 | +0.81 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jake McCabe D | 22:41 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.03 | +0.73 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dominik Kubalik L | 16:13 | 1 | 1 | +0.63 | +0.10 | +0.55 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Seth Jones D | 25:43 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.44 | +0.01 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex DeBrincat R | 25:36 | 1 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.21 | +0.12 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Riley Stillman D | 14:13 | +0.24 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Lafferty C | 13:48 | +0.13 | +0.12 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Henrik Borgstrom C | 6:44 | +0.04 | −0.04 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Boris Katchouk L | 9:16 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Reese Johnson C | 11:02 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Taylor Raddysh R | 16:57 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Toews C | 17:07 | 2 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.22 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.11 | |
| Dylan Strome C | 22:10 | −0.18 | −0.02 | −0.20 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Alec Regula D | 19:58 | −0.18 | +0.15 | −0.32 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Gustafsson D | 18:09 | −0.21 | −0.14 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Johnson C | 16:23 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.03 | −0.35 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Patrick Kane R | 23:58 | 2 | −0.46 | +0.21 | −0.76 | +0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Philipp Kurashev C | 15:07 | −0.57 | −0.07 | −0.49 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen G | 64:23 | +0.28 |
ARI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Stralman D | 23:39 | 1 | +0.69 | +0.20 | +0.64 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Barrett Hayton C | 20:03 | 1 | +0.56 | −0.12 | +0.68 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nate Smith C | 11:46 | 1 | +0.55 | −0.16 | +0.79 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | |
| Vladislav Kolyachonok D | 17:08 | +0.18 | +0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Schmaltz C | 21:38 | 2 | −0.10 | +0.12 | −0.32 | +0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Andrew Ladd L | 16:02 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cam Dineen D | 15:42 | −0.18 | +0.13 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Capobianco D | 18:52 | −0.21 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Carcone L | 13:34 | −0.22 | −0.04 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Loui Eriksson L | 11:00 | −0.27 | +0.10 | −0.38 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phil Kessel R | 17:55 | 2 | −0.28 | −0.36 | −0.12 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Jay Beagle C | 4:10 | −0.28 | −0.07 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Antoine Roussel L | 15:40 | −0.28 | −0.16 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Galchenyuk C | 13:56 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.19 | +0.03 | |
| J.J. Moser D | 22:19 | −0.35 | −0.30 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 24:54 | −0.37 | −0.35 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack McBain C | 16:36 | −0.42 | −0.04 | −0.29 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.08 | ||
| Travis Boyd C | 16:15 | −0.85 | −0.29 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.37 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka G | 64:23 | +0.41 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.