MIN beat DAL 3–2 in overtime. MIN lost the expected-goals battle 2.2 to 2.9 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Frederick Gaudreau scored at 1:40 of overtime, moving MIN’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | MIN–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:14 | MIN | Kevin Fiala from Frederick Gaudreau, Matt Boldy | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P2 6:02 | DAL | Jason RobertsonPP from Roope Hintz, Joe Pavelski | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 11:36 | MIN | Kevin FialaSH from Frederick Gaudreau | 2–1 | 46% → 68% |
| P3 0:55 | DAL | Jason Robertson from Roope Hintz, Miro Heiskanen | 2–2 | 27% → 52% |
| OT 1:40 | MIN | Frederick Gaudreau from Marc-Andre Fleury, Kevin Fiala | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Fiala L | 17:43 | 2 | 1 | +1.41 | +0.03 | +1.39 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 16:02 | 1 | 2 | +0.71 | −0.02 | +0.74 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Jordie Benn D | 14:50 | +0.05 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 11:08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Duhaime R | 11:32 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Marcus Foligno L | 12:44 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Goligoski D | 17:26 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Jost C | 13:02 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jake Middleton D | 20:35 | −0.07 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mats Zuccarello C | 19:09 | −0.09 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Boldy L | 13:41 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.02 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Eriksson Ek C | 13:32 | −0.12 | +0.06 | −0.22 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jared Spurgeon D | 20:35 | −0.13 | −0.05 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Brodin D | 25:35 | −0.19 | −0.07 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitry Kulikov D | 22:48 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kirill Kaprizov L | 18:02 | −0.23 | −0.14 | −0.13 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Bjugstad C | 13:09 | −0.55 | +0.03 | −0.39 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Hartman R | 18:07 | −0.64 | −0.14 | −0.26 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.06 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury G | 61:40 | +0.39 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Robertson L | 21:06 | 2 | +1.42 | +0.21 | +0.98 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Joe Pavelski C | 21:02 | 1 | +0.30 | +0.19 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Roope Hintz C | 19:00 | 2 | +0.24 | +0.22 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| John Klingberg D | 21:37 | +0.23 | +0.13 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 15:18 | +0.07 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Joel Hanley D | 16:14 | +0.04 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Suter D | 22:11 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 18:06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Raffl L | 15:29 | −0.00 | +0.04 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Alexander Radulov R | 10:07 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jani Hakanpää D | 17:15 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Miro Heiskanen D | 23:28 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jacob Peterson C | 5:29 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Benn L | 17:06 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.11 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 18:02 | −0.12 | +0.04 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Denis Gurianov R | 16:05 | −0.15 | −0.11 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marián Studenic R | 7:14 | −0.22 | −0.13 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Seguin C | 19:12 | −0.49 | −0.05 | −0.49 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood G | 59:23 | −0.66 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.