ANA beat PHI 5–3. ANA also won the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 2.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Trevor Zegras scored at 11:38 of the third, moving ANA’s win probability from 48% to 82%. Martin Jones allowed 2.1 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 1:39 | PHI | Travis Sanheim from Morgan Frost, Travis Konecny | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 2:28 | PHI | Ronnie Attard from Hayden Hodgson, Scott Laughton | 0–2 | 69% → 82% |
| P2 3:06 | ANA | Sonny Milano from Jamie Drysdale, Cam Fowler | 1–2 | 14% → 28% |
| P2 4:38 | ANA | Zachary Aston-Reese from Adam Henrique, Andrej Sustr | 2–2 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 14:13 | ANA | Trevor ZegrasPP from Urho Vaakanainen, Jamie Drysdale | 3–2 | 48% → 70% |
| P3 3:53 | PHI | Ivan Provorov from Nate Thompson, Cam York | 3–3 | 25% → 52% |
| P3 11:38 | ANA | Trevor Zegras from Derek Grant | 4–3 | 48% → 82% |
| P3 14:33 | ANA | Derek Grant from Andrej Sustr, Dominik Simon | 5–3 | 86% → 98% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Zegras C | 18:54 | 2 | +2.06 | +0.11 | +1.72 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Sonny Milano L | 20:57 | 1 | +0.87 | +0.14 | +0.72 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Zachary Aston-Reese C | 12:59 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.08 | +0.75 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Derek Grant C | 14:44 | 1 | 1 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.66 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Adam Henrique C | 17:03 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Simon Benoit D | 15:06 | +0.14 | +0.18 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gerry Mayhew C | 12:54 | +0.08 | +0.13 | −0.21 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 25:07 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.13 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrej Sustr D | 16:52 | 2 | +0.06 | +0.09 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Troy Terry R | 20:34 | −0.05 | +0.16 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Steel C | 9:04 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Urho Vaakanainen D | 19:55 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 22:31 | −0.14 | +0.05 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 16:35 | −0.15 | +0.06 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Sam Carrick C | 11:18 | −0.19 | −0.07 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Dominik Simon C | 13:02 | 1 | −0.31 | +0.04 | −0.35 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Maxime Comtois L | 7:34 | −0.32 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Jamie Drysdale D | 20:51 | 2 | −0.65 | +0.14 | −0.58 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz G | 60:00 | −0.42 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Sanheim D | 23:37 | 1 | +0.72 | −0.02 | +0.75 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ivan Provorov D | 22:35 | 1 | +0.55 | −0.11 | +0.68 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ronnie Attard D | 16:52 | 1 | +0.47 | −0.14 | +0.81 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Oskar Lindblom L | 13:37 | +0.16 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Brown C | 11:36 | +0.10 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Morgan Frost C | 14:32 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 16:00 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Connauton D | 15:08 | −0.11 | −0.05 | −0.08 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 19:52 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 16:46 | −0.16 | −0.04 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hayden Hodgson R | 10:04 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Cam Atkinson R | 17:12 | −0.19 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 15:03 | −0.27 | −0.09 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kevin Hayes R | 20:35 | −0.29 | −0.02 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 17:51 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.01 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Nate Thompson C | 11:40 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.04 | −0.25 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Scott Laughton C | 16:12 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.06 | |
| Cam York D | 20:02 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.13 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Jones G | 57:03 | −2.08 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.