ARI beat CHI 3–2 in overtime. ARI also won the expected-goals battle 3.2 to 2.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Shayne Gostisbehere scored on the power play at 4:45 of overtime, moving ARI’s win probability from 50% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ARI–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 1:15 |  CHI | Dylan Strome from Alex DeBrincat | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P2 6:25 | ARI | Michael Carcone from Anton Stralman | 1–1 | 27% → 47% |
| P2 10:01 | ARI | Travis Boyd from Shayne Gostisbehere, Dysin Mayo | 2–1 | 47% → 68% |
| P3 5:33 | CHI | Patrick KanePP from Seth Jones, Alex DeBrincat | 2–2 | 25% → 52% |
| OT 4:45 | ARI | Shayne GostisbeherePP from Nick Schmaltz, Phil Kessel | 3–2 | 50% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ARI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 23:56 | 1 | 1 | +1.25 | +0.48 | +0.36 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.37 | +0.00 |
| Phil Kessel R | 19:14 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.33 | −0.17 | +0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Schmaltz C | 18:27 | 1 | +0.26 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.23 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Boyd C | 16:24 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.03 | +0.32 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | |
| Barrett Hayton C | 17:26 | +0.16 | +0.45 | −0.22 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Anton Stralman D | 22:43 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.22 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Carcone L | 12:41 | 1 | +0.11 | −0.22 | +0.38 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vladislav Kolyachonok D | 16:28 | +0.01 | +0.09 | −0.03 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Loui Eriksson L | 17:14 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dysin Mayo D | 22:03 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Hudson Fasching R | 12:51 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Galchenyuk C | 12:03 | −0.08 | +0.13 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jay Beagle C | 17:12 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Matias Maccelli L | 15:30 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jan Jenik C | 12:54 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.13 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Dineen D | 20:50 | −0.28 | −0.24 | −0.05 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Ladd L | 15:28 | −0.32 | +0.09 | −0.11 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Capobianco D | 16:42 | −0.41 | +0.14 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.37 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka G | 64:41 | +0.58 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Strome C | 22:27 | 1 | +0.49 | +0.26 | +0.22 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Alex DeBrincat R | 24:02 | 2 | +0.41 | +0.23 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Reese Johnson C | 10:23 | +0.05 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Caleb Jones D | 19:06 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Gustafsson D | 19:52 | −0.01 | +0.10 | −0.00 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 24:31 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.16 | +0.16 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Calvin de Haan D | 19:01 | −0.04 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake McCabe D | 19:09 | −0.04 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Boris Katchouk L | 6:23 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Toews C | 18:52 | −0.09 | −0.16 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.12 | ||
| Taylor Raddysh R | 16:08 | −0.11 | +0.03 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 6:58 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Dominik Kubalik L | 12:54 | −0.14 | −0.04 | −0.06 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Lafferty C | 16:36 | −0.15 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Tyler Johnson C | 14:42 | −0.15 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Riley Stillman D | 14:33 | −0.20 | −0.05 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 28:33 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.19 | −0.07 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kirby Dach C | 17:54 | −0.69 | −0.42 | −0.02 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen G | 64:45 | +0.20 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.