BOS beat CBJ 5–2. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 3.8 to 2.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Erik Haula scored on the power play at 16:06 of the third, moving BOS’s win probability from 52% to 90%. Elvis Merzlikins saved 1.0 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CBJ–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 15:09 | BOS | Erik Haula from Taylor Hall, Charlie McAvoy | 0–1 | 53% → 71% |
| P1 19:32 | CBJ | Gustav Nyquist from Cole Sillinger, Adam Boqvist | 1–1 | 29% → 47% |
| P2 0:42 | CBJ | Justin Danforth from Egor Chinakhov, Sean Kuraly | 2–1 | 47% → 66% |
| P2 18:13 | BOS | Brad Marchand from Patrice Bergeron, Jake DeBrusk | 2–2 | 28% → 53% |
| P3 16:06 | BOS | Erik HaulaPP from Brandon Carlo, Hampus Lindholm | 2–3 | 52% → 90% |
| P3 18:00 | BOS | Jake DeBruskEN from Brad Marchand, Charlie McAvoy | 2–4 | 94% → 100% |
| P3 19:54 | BOS | Charlie CoyleEN from Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand | 2–5 | 100% → 99% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustav Nyquist R | 17:12 | 1 | +0.49 | +0.10 | +0.39 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Gavin Bayreuther D | 14:24 | +0.21 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Danforth R | 14:13 | 1 | +0.21 | −0.01 | +0.23 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Egor Chinakhov R | 14:58 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.11 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Boqvist D | 15:43 | 1 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 22:05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 17:44 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Emil Bemstrom C | 10:04 | −0.17 | +0.06 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Roslovic C | 16:50 | −0.23 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.08 | ||
| Eric Robinson L | 11:22 | −0.24 | −0.07 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Cole Sillinger C | 15:16 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.06 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Patrik Laine L | 18:43 | −0.27 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Bean D | 22:32 | −0.28 | −0.14 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 17:32 | −0.30 | −0.10 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dean Kukan D | 21:48 | −0.31 | −0.30 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 20:09 | −0.34 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakub Voracek R | 19:16 | −0.46 | −0.31 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Gaunce C | 9:54 | −0.50 | −0.09 | −0.42 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins G | 57:25 | +1.04 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Haula L | 16:32 | 2 | +1.70 | +0.25 | +1.45 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Brad Marchand L | 19:00 | 1 | 2 | +1.01 | +0.23 | +0.77 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Brandon Carlo D | 20:23 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.27 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Hampus Lindholm D | 23:53 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.22 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Charlie McAvoy D | 24:24 | 2 | +0.15 | +0.16 | −0.07 | +0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 17:04 | +0.09 | +0.08 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake DeBrusk L | 14:42 | 1 | 1 | −0.00 | +0.27 | −0.47 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 |
| Taylor Hall L | 17:21 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.12 | −0.05 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Derek Forbort D | 16:52 | −0.05 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrice Bergeron C | 18:08 | 2 | −0.06 | +0.17 | −0.30 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Charlie Coyle C | 17:15 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Curtis Lazar C | 9:08 | −0.21 | −0.08 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Tomas Nosek L | 9:41 | −0.22 | −0.10 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Mike Reilly D | 15:32 | −0.28 | −0.09 | −0.17 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trent Frederic C | 15:53 | −0.32 | −0.07 | −0.24 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 9:37 | −0.40 | −0.13 | −0.27 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Craig Smith C | 14:49 | −0.56 | +0.09 | −0.66 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 18:04 | −0.56 | +0.12 | −0.71 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 59:42 | +0.70 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.